Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30652233›Full record

ArticleMedical & biological engineering & computing2019

Models for optimally controlling varicella and herpes zoster by varicella vaccination: a comparative study.

Monica Betta, Alberto Landi, Piero Manfredi, Marco Laurino

Open access · greenAbstract readComparative Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Medical & biological engineering & computing, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 49% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Monica BettaIMT School for Advanced Studies, Piazza S. Francesco 19, 55100, Lucca, Italy. monica.betta@imtlucca.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5672-1638
Alberto LandiDepartment of Information Engineering (DIE), University of Pisa, Via G. Caruso 16, 56122, Pisa, Italy.
Piero ManfrediDepartment of Economics and Management, University of Pisa, Via Cosimo Ridolfi 10, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
Marco LaurinoInstitute of Clinical Physiology, National Research Council, Via Giuseppe Moruzzi 1, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
University of Pisa · ITIstituto di Fisiologia Clinica · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The introduction of mass vaccination against Varicella-Zoster-Virus (VZV) is being delayed in many European countries mainly because of the "fear" of a subsequent boom in natural herpes zoster (HZ) incidence in the first decades after the initiation of vaccination, caused by the expected decline in the protective effect of natural immunity boosting due to reduced virus circulation. Optimal control theory has proven to be a successful tool in understanding ways to curtail the spread of infectious diseases by devising the optimal disease intervention strategies. In this paper, we describe how a reduced 'toy' model can extract the essentials of the dynamics of the VZV transmission and reactivation in case of the study of optimal paths of varicella immunization programs. Results obtained using different optimization approaches are compared with the ones of a more realistic age-structured model. The reduced model shows some unreliable predictions in regards of model time scales about herpes zoster dynamic; nevertheless, it is able to reproduce the main qualitative dynamic of the more realistic model to the different optimization problems, while requiring a minimal number of parameters to be identified. Graphical abstract ᅟ.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedChickenpoxChickenpox VaccineChildHerpes ZosterHumansMass VaccinationMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalChickenpox VaccineHerpes zosterModelsOptimal controlVaccinationVaricella

Identifiers

PMID30652233
OpenAlexW2908708960

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.