Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30646334›Full record

ArticleJAMA network open2018

US National Trends in Pediatric Deaths From Prescription and Illicit Opioids, 1999-2016.

Julie R Gaither, Veronika Shabanova, John M Leventhal

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA network open, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 146 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
146citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
40.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

146 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 312 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. Safety Assessment of Perioperative Pain Medications for Children: Variation in Opioid Prescribing at Discharge.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2026
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  16. Stalled Improvements? Youth Opioid Misuse 2015-2022.The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine · 2025
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86 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Julie R GaitherDepartment of Pediatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
Veronika ShabanovaDepartment of Pediatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
John M LeventhalDepartment of Pediatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
Yale University · US

Funding

Institutional Career Development CoreKL2TR001862 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI CANTLEY, LLOYD G, EDELMAN, E. JENNIFER · 2016 to 2025
$12.2M
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR001862
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: It is not yet known how many children and adolescents die each year from opioid poisonings and how mortality rates have changed over time. Objective: To examine national trends in pediatric deaths from prescription and illicit opioids. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional in which serial mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention were analyzed. The population included 8986 children and adolescents (age, <20 years) who died in all US settings from opioid poisonings between 1999 and 2016. Data were collected and analyzed between June 1 and October 31, 2018. Exposures: All opioids. Main Outcomes and Measures: Age-specific mortality rates per 100 000 were estimated with smoothing spline Poisson regression. Results: Of the 8986 children and adolescents who died between 1999 and 2016 from prescription and illicit opioid poisonings, 6567 (73.1%) were male, 7921 (88.1%) were among adolescents aged 15 to 19 years, and 605 (6.7%) were among children aged 0 to 4 years. The overall pediatric mortality rate increased from 0.22 (95% CI, 0.19-0.25) to 0.81 (95% CI, 0.76-0.88) per 100 000, an increase of 268.2% (P for time effect <.001). The highest annual rates were among adolescents aged 15 to 19 years, but time trends revealed a steady linear increase among children aged 0 to 4 years and those aged 5 to 9 years as well as a steady linear increase until 2008 among the cohorts aged 10 to 14 years and 15 to 19 years, when rates briefly declined before rising again. Among adolescents aged 15 to 19 years, heroin was implicated in 1872 deaths: rates increased from 0.21 (95% CI, 0.17-0.25) to 1.06 (95% CI, 0.97-1.17), an increase of 404.8%, whereas rates for prescription opioids increased by 94.7% from 0.57 (95% CI, 0.49-0.66) to 1.11 (95% CI, 0.99-1.25) (all P for time effect <.001). Between 2014 and 2016, there were 1508 opioid deaths among adolescents aged 15 to 19 years; of these, 468 (31.0%) were attributed to synthetic opioids. Across time, 7263 (80.8%) of all pediatric deaths were unintentional, 5537 (61.6%) occurred outside of a medical facility, and 3419 (38.0%) children died at home or another residential setting. Among children younger than 5 years, 148 (24.5%) deaths were attributed to homicide. Conclusions and Relevance: Over 18 years, nearly 9000 children and adolescents died from opioid poisonings, and the mortality rate increased nearly 3-fold. These findings suggest that the opioid epidemic is likely to remain a growing public health problem in the young unless legislators, public health officials, clinicians, and parents take a wider view of the opioid crisis and implement protective measures that are pediatric specific and family centered.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAnalgesics, OpioidChildChild, PreschoolDrug OverdoseFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMalePoisson DistributionRetrospective StudiesUnited StatesYoung AdultAnalgesics, Opioid

Identifiers

PMID30646334
PMCPMC6324338
OpenAlexW2907170513

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.