Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30642398›Full record

ArticleJournal of otolaryngology - head & neck surgery = Le Journal d'oto-rhino-laryngologie et de chirurgie cervico-faciale2019

Risk stratification models in human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma: the Nova Scotia distribution.

David Forner, Matthew H Rigby, Derek Wilke, S Mark Taylor, Nathan Lamond

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of otolaryngology - head & neck surgery = Le Journal d'oto-rhino-laryngologie et de chirurgie cervico-faciale, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Pretreatment pain predicts perineural invasion in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

David FornerDivision of Otolaryngology - Head & Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. david.forner@dal.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1014-3545
Matthew H RigbyDivision of Otolaryngology - Head & Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Derek WilkeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Dalhousie, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
S Mark TaylorDivision of Otolaryngology - Head & Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Nathan LamondDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, QEII - Bethune Building, Dalhousie University, Suite 470, 1276 South Park Street, Halifax, Nova Scotia, B3H 2Y9, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma is increasing with a growing proportion of diagnoses associated with human papillomavirus (p16 + OSCC), which generally confers a favorable prognosis. For these reasons, novel risk stratification models specific to the p16 + OSCC population have recently been proposed to guide future research on treatment de-intensification for appropriate patients. This study aimed to quantify patient risk distribution using multiple published risk models and investigate the hypothesis that the local p16 + OSCC population includes a smaller proportion of low-risk patients due to a high prevalence of concurrent tobacco exposure.

methodsA retrospective cohort study was performed including patients diagnosed with p16 + OSCC in Nova Scotia between 2011 and 2015. Patient identification was obtained through the CCNS registry and an institutional database. Exclusion criteria included HPV negative status, second primary cases, incomplete data availability, and local recurrence cases.

resultsFollowing exclusion, 117 patients met study criteria. The majority had small primary tumors (70.9% ≤ T2) and advanced nodal status on presentation (60.7% ≥ N2b). Most patients had a positive smoking history (62.4%), with 53.0% of patients having a pack-year history greater than 10 pack-years. In four of the five risk stratification models, the majority of the study population fell into the lowest risk category. The risk stratification distribution of our local population was similar to the populations used to validate the published models, with the largest single category difference being 13.3% (range - 12.3 to + 13.3%).

conclusionsThis is the first study to compare multiple currently published risk stratification models to a local population and address the uncertainty of risk stratification in the Nova Scotian p16 + OSCC population. Despite a high prevalence of concurrent tobacco exposure, the study population was found to be overall low risk, with similar risk compared to model validation populations.

Indexed as

Human papillomavirus 16AdultAgedAged, 80 and overCarcinoma, Squamous CellFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNova ScotiaOropharyngeal NeoplasmsPapillomavirus InfectionsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentSmoking

Identifiers

PMID30642398
PMCPMC6332880

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.