SynthesisThe lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology2019
Change in albuminuria as a surrogate endpoint for progression of kidney disease: a meta-analysis of treatment effects in randomised clinical trials.
Synthesis in The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 223 papers, 18 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Efficacy and Safety of Finerenone for the Early Regression of Albuminuria in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Chronic Kidney Disease: A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial.
Implication of Albuminuria Reduction and Other Cardiorenal Effects on The Risk of Heart Failure in Patients With CKD and T2D
Who cites it
223 citing papers in PubMed, 18 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 357 citations in OpenAlex.
- 2026 AHA/ACC/ADA/ASN Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines.Journal of the American College of Cardiology · 2026Guideline
- Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials Assessing the Efficacy and Safety of Endothelin Receptor Antagonists in CKD.Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN · 2026Pooled it
- Effects of Aliskiren Monotherapy on Chronic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Blood Pressure and Urinary Protein Excretion Outcomes.Journal of clinical hypertension (Greenwich, Conn.) · 2026Pooled it
- Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and risk of diabetic retinopathy in type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis of randomised clinical trials.International journal of clinical pharmacy · 2026Pooled it
- Proteinuria or Albuminuria as Markers of Kidney and Cardiovascular Disease Risk : An Individual Patient-Level Meta-analysis.Annals of internal medicine · 2026Pooled it
- A meta-analysis of albuminuria as a surrogate endpoint for kidney failure.Nature medicine · 2026Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Association Between Surrogate Endpoints and Clinical Outcomes in Immunoglobulin A Nephropathy: A Systematic Literature Review.Advances in therapy · 2025Pooled it
- Cardiovascular and renal outcomes of dual combination therapies with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose transport protein 2 inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Cardiovascular diabetology · 2025Pooled it
- Pharmacological Nephroprotection in Chronic Kidney Disease Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus-Clinical Practice Position Statement of the Polish Society of Nephrology.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024Guideline
- Guidelines for clinical evaluation of chronic kidney disease in early stages : AMED research on regulatory science of pharmaceuticals and medical devices.Clinical and experimental nephrology · 2024Guideline
- Efficacy and safety of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors in patients with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.International urology and nephrology · 2024Pooled it
- Potential Mediators for Treatment Effects of Novel Diabetes Medications on Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes: A Meta-Regression Analysis.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2024Pooled it
- Effects of renal denervation on kidney function in patients with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Journal of human hypertension · 2024Pooled it
- Handling missing within-study correlations in the evaluation of surrogate endpoints.Statistics in medicine · 2023Pooled it
- A meta-analysis of GFR slope as a surrogate endpoint for kidney failure.Nature medicine · 2023Pooled it
- Association of Treatment Effects on Early Change in Urine Protein and Treatment Effects on GFR Slope in IgA Nephropathy: An Individual Participant Meta-analysis.American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation · 2021Pooled it
- Sulodexide for Diabetic-Induced Disabilities: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Advances in therapy · 2021Pooled it
- Impact of Simultaneous Initiation of Finerenone and Empagliflozin on Albuminuria Irrespective of Baseline HbA1c Levels: A Participant-Level Exploratory Analysis of the Randomised CONFIDENCE Trial.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Trial
- Effect of Finerenone on Albuminuria in Type 1 Diabetes by Baseline HbA1c Level and Diabetes Duration: An Exploratory Analysis of the FINE-ONE Trial.Diabetes care · 2026Trial
163 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
15 authors at 13 institutions in 6 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundChange in albuminuria has strong biological plausibility as a surrogate endpoint for progression of chronic kidney disease, but empirical evidence to support its validity is lacking. We aimed to determine the association between treatment effects on early changes in albuminuria and treatment effects on clinical endpoints and surrograte endpoints, to inform the use of albuminuria as a surrogate endpoint in future randomised controlled trials.
methodsIn this meta-analysis, we searched PubMed for publications in English from Jan 1, 1946, to Dec 15, 2016, using search terms including "chronic kidney disease", "chronic renal insufficiency", "albuminuria", "proteinuria", and "randomized controlled trial"; key inclusion criteria were quantifiable measurements of albuminuria or proteinuria at baseline and within 12 months of follow-up and information on the incidence of end-stage kidney disease. We requested use of individual patient data from the authors of eligible studies. For all studies that the authors agreed to participate and that had sufficient data, we estimated treatment effects on 6-month change in albuminuria and the composite clinical endpoint of treated end-stage kidney disease, estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 15 mL/min per 1·73 m
findingsWe identified 41 eligible treatment comparisons from randomised trials (referred to as studies) that provided sufficient patient-level data on 29 979 participants (21 206 [71%] with diabetes). Over a median follow-up of 3·4 years (IQR 2·3-4·2), 3935 (13%) participants reached the composite clinical endpoint. Across all studies, with a meta-regression slope of 0·89 (95% Bayesian credible interval [BCI] 0·13-1·70), each 30% decrease in geometric mean albuminuria by the treatment relative to the control was associated with an average 27% lower hazard for the clinical endpoint (95% BCI 5-45%; median R
interpretationOur results support a role for change in albuminuria as a surrogate endpoint for the progression of chronic kidney disease, particularly in patients with high baseline albuminuria; for patients with low baseline levels of albuminuria this association is less certain.
fundingUS National Kidney Foundation.
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Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.