Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30630859›Full record

Observational studyClinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN2019

Patients,' Nephrologists,' and Predicted Estimations of ESKD Risk Compared with 2-Year Incidence of ESKD.

O Alison Potok, Hoang Anh Nguyen, Joseph A Abdelmalek, Tomasz Beben, Tyler B Woodell, Dena E Rifkin

Open access · bronzeAbstract readComparative StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Risk-directed management of chronic kidney disease.Nature reviews. Nephrology · 2025
    Review
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Medical Record Documentation of Goals-of-Care Discussions Among Older Veterans With Incident Kidney Failure.American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

O Alison PotokDivision of Nephrology-Hypertension, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Hoang Anh NguyenDivision of Nephrology-Hypertension, University of California, Irvine, California; and.
Joseph A AbdelmalekDivision of Nephrology-Hypertension, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Tomasz BebenDivision of Nephrology-Hypertension, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Tyler B WoodellDivision of Nephrology-Hypertension, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Dena E RifkinDivision of Nephrology-Hypertension, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California.
University of California, San Diego · USUniversity of California, Irvine · USVA San Diego Healthcare System · US

Funding

Adult and Pediatric Nephrology Clinical Investigation Training ProgramT32DK104717 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI IX, JOACHIM H · 2016 to 2020
$1.3M
NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK104717
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesThe rate of progression to ESKD is variable, and prognostic information helps patients and physicians plan for future ESKD. We assessed the estimations of ESKD risk of patients with CKD and physicians and compared them with risk calculators and outcomes at 2 years. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: This prospective observational study assessed 257 adult patients with CKD stages 3-5 and their nephrologists at University of California, San Diego and Veterans Affairs San Diego CKD clinics. Patients' and nephrologists' estimations of 2-year ESKD risk were evaluated, and objective estimation of 2-year risk was determined using kidney failure risk equations; actual incidence rates of ESKD and death were ascertained by chart review. Participants' baseline characteristics were compared across kidney failure risk equation risk levels and according to whether patients' estimations were more optimistic or pessimistic than physicians' estimations. We examined correlations between estimations and compared estimations with outcomes using

resultsAverage age was 65 (±13) years old, and eGFR was 34 (±13) ml/min per 1.73 m

conclusionsCompared with actual ESKD incidence, the kidney failure risk equation outperformed patients' and physicians' estimations of ESKD incidence. Patients and physicians overestimated risk compared with the kidney failure risk equation.

Indexed as

NephrologistsPatientsAdultAgedDisease ProgressionFemaleForecastingHumansIncidenceKidney Failure, ChronicMaleMathematical ConceptsMiddle AgedOptimismPessimismPrognosisCalibrationchronic kidney diseasedialysisDisease ProgressionESKDglomerular filtration rateIncidencekidney failureKidney Failure, ChronicPrognosisProgression of Kidney FailureProspective StudiesRenal InsufficiencyRenal Insufficiency, ChronicVeterans

Identifiers

PMID30630859
PMCPMC6390919
OpenAlexW2908764224

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.