Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30627848›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of colorectal disease2019

Colorectal cancer screening by colonoscopy and trends in disease-specific mortality: a population-based ecological study of 358 German districts.

Joachim Hübner, Philip Lewin, Ron Pritzkuleit, Nora Eisemann, Werner Maier, Alexander Katalinic

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Article in International journal of colorectal disease, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Joachim HübnerInstitute of Social Medicine and Epidemiology, University of Lübeck, Ratzeburger Allee 160, 23562, Lübeck, Germany. joachim.huebner@uksh.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8596-2046
Philip LewinInstitute of Social Medicine and Epidemiology, University of Lübeck, Ratzeburger Allee 160, 23562, Lübeck, Germany.
Ron PritzkuleitInstitute of Cancer Epidemiology, University of Lübeck, Ratzeburger Allee 160, 23562, Lübeck, Germany.
Nora EisemannInstitute of Social Medicine and Epidemiology, University of Lübeck, Ratzeburger Allee 160, 23562, Lübeck, Germany.
Werner MaierInstitute of Health Economics and Health Care Management, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Ingolstädter Landstraße 1, 85764, Neuherberg, Germany.
Alexander KatalinicInstitute of Social Medicine and Epidemiology, University of Lübeck, Ratzeburger Allee 160, 23562, Lübeck, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeScreening for colorectal cancer (CRC) by colonoscopy was implemented in Germany in 2002. Although the procedure has proven to be effective in reducing disease-specific mortality in numerous clinical studies, its effect at the population level is unclear. We performed an ecological study at the level of 358 German districts, testing the hypothesis that a higher participation rate in screening colonoscopy is associated with a stronger decline in CRC mortality from 2001 to 2012.

methodsInformation on the use of colonoscopy in each district was extracted from settlement data, used for the remuneration of physicians of the ambulant sector from 2008 to 2011. Yearly mortality rates for each district from 2001 to 2012 were derived from the official mortality statistics. A spatial model was fitted, considering other factors which might influence early detection of CRC (fecal occult blood test (FOBT), diagnostic colonoscopy, material and social area deprivation, and rural-urban disparities).

resultsThe population-weighted mean annual participation rate during 2008-2011 in screening colonoscopy was 2.0% (range 0.6 to 3.9%). The weighted mean annual percentage change (APC) of CRC mortality was - 2.9% (range - 7.8 to 1.2%). According to the fully adjusted model, a 1% higher annual participation rate in colonoscopy screening was associated with an additional annual change in CRC mortality rate of - 0.34% (p = 0.015). Given an annual 2.0% participation rate, colonoscopy screening attributed 23% to the observed decline.

conclusionsOur real-world data from Germany provide first evidence that colonoscopy screening for CRC is effective in reducing disease-specific mortality at the population level.

Indexed as

ColonoscopyEarly Detection of CancerColorectal NeoplasmsGermanyHumansOccult BloodRegression AnalysisColonoscopyColorectal cancerEpidemiologyMortalityScreening

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.