Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30626327›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2019

Modelling reassurances of clinicians with hidden Markov models.

Valentin Popov, Alesha Ellis-Robinson, Gerald Humphris

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02599506 (Fear of Cancer Recurrence), which is not on this map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02599506 completednot on this map

Fear of Cancer Recurrence (FoR) Trajectory During Radiation Treatment and Follow-up Into Survivorship of 100 Breast Cancer patients-a Pilot Study

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of St AndrewsRan2015 to 2016Enrolled97ConditionsBreast Cancer
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Characterizing heterogeneity in health-related quality of life trajectories in coronary artery disease: a longitudinal latent Markov analysis.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Valentin PopovSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, The Observatory, Buchanan Gardens, St Andrews, KY16 9LZ, UK. vmp@st-andrews.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-1079-7992
Alesha Ellis-RobinsonSchool of Medicine, University of St Andrews, North Haugh, St Andrews, KY16 9TF, UK.
Gerald HumphrisSchool of Medicine, University of St Andrews, North Haugh, St Andrews, KY16 9TF, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA key element in the interaction between clinicians and patients with cancer is reassurance giving. Learning about the stochastic nature of reassurances as well as making inferential statements about the influence of covariates such as patient response and time spent on previous reassurances are of particular importance.

methodsWe fit Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to reassurance type from multiple time series of clinicians' reassurances, decoded from audio files of review consultations between patients with breast cancer and their therapeutic radiographer. Assuming a latent state process driving the observations process, HMMs naturally accommodate serial dependence in the data. Extensions to the baseline model such as including covariates as well as allowing for fixed effects for the different clinicians are straightforward to implement.

resultsWe found that clinicians undergo different states, in which they are more or less inclined to provide a particular type of reassurance. The states are very persistent, however switches occasionally occur. The lengthier the previous reassurance, the more likely the clinician is to stay in the current state.

conclusionsHMMs prove to be a valuable tool and provide important insights for practitioners.

trial registrationTrial Registration number: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02599506. Prospectively registered on 11th March 2015.

Indexed as

Health CommunicationPhysician-Patient RelationsAnxietyBreast NeoplasmsComputer SimulationFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMarkov ChainsPilot ProjectsFixed effectsHidden Markov modelsReassurance

Identifiers

PMID30626327
PMCPMC6327545

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.