Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30622736›Full record

ArticleRMD open2018

Performance of the Expanded Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Score for Rheumatoid Arthritis in a geographically distant National Register-based cohort: an external validation.

Lotta Ljung, Peter Ueda, Katherine P Liao, Jeffrey D Greenberg, Carol J Etzel, Daniel H Solomon, Johan Askling

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in RMD open, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Lotta LjungDepartment of Medicine Solna, Clinical Epidemiology Section, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-8999-0925
Peter UedaDepartment of Medicine Solna, Clinical Epidemiology Section, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Katherine P LiaoDivision of Rheumatology, Immunology and Allergy, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Jeffrey D GreenbergDivision of Rheumatology, New York University School of Medicine (JDG), NYU Hospital for Joint Diseases, New York City, New York, USA.
Carol J EtzelCorrona, LLC, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA.
Daniel H SolomonDivision of Rheumatology, Immunology and Allergy, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Johan AsklingDepartment of Medicine Solna, Clinical Epidemiology Section, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Karolinska Institutet · SEBrigham and Women's Hospital · USNew York University Langone Orthopedic Hospital · US

Funding

Lipids, Inflammation, and Cardiovascular Risk in Rheumatoid ArthritisR01HL127118 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI LIAO, KATHERINE PHOENIX · 2016 to 2020
$4.1M
Genetic Risk Factors for Coronary Artery Disease in Rheumatoid ArthritisK08AR060257 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI LIAO, KATHERINE PHOENIX · 2011 to 2015
$649k
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL127118NIAMS NIH HHS K08 AR060257
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCardiovascular (CV) risk stratification for patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) should facilitate evidence-based management. Prior work has derived an internally validated a CV risk score, the Expanded Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Score for Rheumatoid Arthritis (ERS-RA), using US data. The aim of this study was to perform an external validation among unselected patients with RA from Europe.

methodsThree large, partially overlapping, cohorts of patients with RA from the Swedish Rheumatology Quality register were identified for external validation, two with information on smoking and two with close to 10 years of median follow-up. The 10 -year rate of first CV events was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The performance of ERS-RA was assessed using C-index and comparisons of observed versus predicted risks.

resultsThe C-index for ERS-RA varied across the three RA cohorts, from 0.75 to 0.78. Predicted risks corresponded well to observed risks among individuals with ≤10 % observed 10- year CV risk, but underestimated risk in individuals with a higher observed risk. In the absence of data on smoking, ERS-RA underestimated the CV risk by 3.3%, whereas in the cohorts including data on smoking, the calibration was within 1% (0.06% and 0.7%). In the clinically relevant risk intervals (<5%, 5.0%-<7.5%, 7.5%-<10%), ERS-RA performed well.

conclusionsIn an unselected Swedish population with RA, ERS-RA performed well, although the 10-year CV risk was underestimated in high-risk groups and in the absence of data on smoking. ERS-RA could be considered as a risk stratification tool for targeted preventive interventions in clinical rheumatology practice.

Indexed as

cardiovascular riskrheumatoid arthritisrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID30622736
PMCPMC6307600
OpenAlexW2904496488

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.