Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30619908›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2018

The Geographic Variation of Surveillance and Zoonotic Spillover Potential of Influenza Viruses in Domestic Poultry and Swine.

Kathryn A Berger, David M Pigott, Francesca Tomlinson, David Godding, Sebastian Maurer-Stroh, Biruhalem Taye, Fernanda L Sirota, Alvin Han, Raphael T C Lee, Vithiagaran Gunalan and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Kathryn A BergerDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9731-6519
David M PigottInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle.
Francesca TomlinsonDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.
David GoddingDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Sebastian Maurer-StrohBioinformatics Institute, ASTAR, Singapore.
Biruhalem TayeBioinformatics Institute, ASTAR, Singapore.
Fernanda L SirotaBioinformatics Institute, ASTAR, Singapore.
Alvin HanBioinformatics Institute, ASTAR, Singapore.
Raphael T C LeeBioinformatics Institute, ASTAR, Singapore.
Vithiagaran GunalanBioinformatics Institute, ASTAR, Singapore.
Frank EisenhaberBioinformatics Institute, ASTAR, Singapore.
Simon I HayInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle.
Colin A RussellAcademic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAvian and swine influenza viruses circulate worldwide and pose threats to both animal and human health. The design of global surveillance strategies is hindered by information gaps on the geospatial variation in virus emergence potential and existing surveillance efforts.

methodsWe developed a spatial framework to quantify the geographic variation in outbreak emergence potential based on indices of potential for animal-to-human and secondary human-to-human transmission. We then compared our resultant raster model of variation in emergence potential with the global distribution of recent surveillance efforts from 359105 reports of surveillance activities.

resultsOur framework identified regions of Southeast Asia, Eastern Europe, Central America, and sub-Saharan Africa with high potential for influenza virus spillover. In the last 15 years, however, we found that 78.43% and 49.01% of high-risk areas lacked evidence of influenza virus surveillance in swine and domestic poultry, respectively.

conclusionsOur work highlights priority areas where improved surveillance and outbreak mitigation could enhance pandemic preparedness strategies.

Indexed as

avian influenzaoutbreakspilloversurveillanceswine influenza

Identifiers

PMID30619908
PMCPMC6309522

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.