Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30608509›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2019

Limiting Alcohol Outlet Density to Prevent Alcohol Use and Violence: Estimating Policy Interventions Through Agent-Based Modeling.

Alvaro Castillo-Carniglia, Veronica A Pear, Melissa Tracy, Katherine M Keyes, Magdalena Cerdá

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Alvaro Castillo-CarnigliaSociety and Health Research Center, Facultad de Humanidades, Universidad Mayor, Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Veronica A PearViolence Prevention Research Program, Department of Emergency Medicine, University of California, Davis, Sacramento, California.
Melissa TracyDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, State University of New York at Albany, Albany, New York.
Katherine M KeyesDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York.
Magdalena CerdáViolence Prevention Research Program, Department of Emergency Medicine, University of California, Davis, Sacramento, California.
Columbia University · USNew York University · USUniversidad Mayor · CLUniversity at Albany, State University of New York · USUniversity of California, Davis · US

Funding

Neighborhood interventions in alcohol-related homicide: a systems approachR21AA021909 · NIAAA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI CERDA, MAGDALENA, KEYES, KATHERINE M. · 2013 to 2014
$414k
NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA021909
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Increasing alcohol outlet density is well-documented to be associated with increased alcohol use and problems, leading to the policy recommendation that limiting outlet density will decrease alcohol problems. Yet few studies of decreasing problematic outlets and outlet density have been conducted. We estimated the association between closing alcohol outlets and alcohol use and alcohol-related violence, using an agent-based model of the adult population in New York City. The model was calibrated according to the empirical distribution of the parameters across the city's population, including the density of on- and off-premise alcohol outlets. Interventions capped the alcohol outlet distribution at the 90th to the 50th percentiles of the New York City density, and closed 5% to 25% of outlets with the highest levels of violence. Capping density led to a lower population of light drinkers (42.2% at baseline vs. 38.1% at the 50th percentile), while heavy drinking increased slightly (12.0% at baseline vs. 12.5% at the 50th percentile). Alcohol-related homicides and nonfatal violence remained unchanged. Closing the most violent outlets was not associated with changes in alcohol use or related problems. Results suggest that focusing solely on closing alcohol outlets might not be an effective strategy to reduce alcohol-related problems.

Indexed as

Health PolicyAdultAlcohol DrinkingAlcoholic BeveragesFemaleHumansMaleNew York CityResidence CharacteristicsSystems AnalysisUrban PopulationViolencealcoholalcohol outletspublic healthsimulationviolence

Identifiers

PMID30608509
PMCPMC6438810
OpenAlexW2906729094

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.