Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30607066›Full record

ArticleEthiopian journal of health sciences2018

Tuberculosis Burden in Ethiopia from 1990 to 2016: Evidence from the Global Burden of Diseases 2016 Study.

Amare Deribew, Kebede Deribe, Tariku Dejene, Gizachew Assefa Tessema, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Yihune Lakew, Azmeraw T Amare, Tolessa Bekele, Semaw F Abera, Muluken Dessalegn and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ethiopian journal of health sciences, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Tuberculosis Treatment Outcome and Predictors in Africa: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
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  5. Clinical Characteristics and Treatment Outcomes among Tuberculosis and TB-HIV Coinfected Patients at Tertiary Health Care Center, South Gujarat, India: A Mixed-method Study.Indian journal of community medicine : official publication of Indian Association of Preventive & Social Medicine · 2026
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  12. Cost-effectiveness of TB diagnostic technologies in Ethiopia: a modelling study.Cost effectiveness and resource allocation : C/E · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Amare DeribewSt. Paul Hospital Millennium Medical College, Ethiopia.
Kebede DeribeWellcome Trust Brighton & Sussex Centre for Global Health Research, Brighton & Sussex Medical School, Brighton, UK.
Tariku DejeneCenter for Population Studies, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia.
Gizachew Assefa TessemaSchool of Public Health, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia.
Yohannes Adama MelakuSchool of Public Health, Mekelle University, Ethiopia.
Yihune LakewEthiopian Public Health Association, Ethiopia.
Azmeraw T AmareCollege of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Ethiopia.
Tolessa BekeleCollege of Medicine and Health Sciences, Madda Walabu University, Ethiopia.
Semaw F AberaSchool of Public Health, Mekelle University, Ethiopia.
Muluken DessalegnAMREF Health Africa, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Andargachew KumsaFederal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Yibeltal AssefaUniversity of Queensland, School of Public Health, Australia.
Hmwe KyuInstitute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington.
Scott D GlennInstitute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington.
Awoke MisganawInstitute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington.
Sibhatu BiadgilignWorld Health Organization, Uganda.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 201900/Z/16/ZWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe burden of Tuberculosis (TB) has not been comprehensively evaluated over the last 25 years in Ethiopia. In this study, we used the 2016 Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors (GBD) data to analyze the incidence, prevalence and mortality rates of tuberculosis (TB) in Ethiopia over the last 26 years.

methodsThe GBD 2016 is a mathematical modeling using different data source for Ethiopia such as verbal autopsy (VA), prevalence surveys and annual case notifications. Age and sex specific causes of death for TB were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble Modeling (CODEm). We used the available data such as annual notifications and prevalence surveys as an input to estimate incidence and prevalence rates respectively using DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool.

resultsIn 2016, we estimated 219,186 (95%UI: 182,977-265,292) new, 151,602 (95% UI: 126,054-180,976) prevalent TB cases and 48,910(95% UI: 40,310-58,195) TB deaths. The age-standardized TB incidence rate decreased from 201.6/100,000 to 88.5/100,000 (with a total decline of 56%) between 1990 to 2016. Similarly, the age-standardized TB mortality rate declined from 393.8/100,000 to 100/100,000 between 1990 and 2016(with a total decline of 75%).

conclusionsEthiopia has achieved the 50% reduction of most of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) targets related to TB. However, the decline of TB incidence and prevalence rates has been comparatively slow. The country should strengthen the TB case detection and treatment programs at community level to achieve its targets during the Sustainable Development Program (SDGs)-era.

Indexed as

Global HealthAge FactorsBayes TheoremCause of DeathEthiopiaFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceMalePrevalenceResearch DesignRisk FactorsTuberculosisBurdenEthiopiaTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID30607066
PMCPMC6308773

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.