Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30599370›Full record

ArticleJournal of affective disorders2019

BP neural network prediction model for suicide attempt among Chinese rural residents.

Juncheng Lyu, Jie Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of affective disorders, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
9.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 91 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Artificial Intelligence and Suicide Prevention: A Systematic Review of Machine Learning Investigations.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
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  13. Artificial intelligence and suicide prevention: a systematic review.European psychiatry : the journal of the Association of European Psychiatrists · 2022
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Juncheng LyuDepartment of Public Health, Weifang Medical University, China. Electronic address: lvjuncheng79@163.com.
Jie ZhangCenter for Suicide Prevention and Research, School of Public Health, Shandong University, China; State University of New York College at Buffalo State, Department of Sociology, New York, USA. Electronic address: zhangj@buffalostate.edu.
Buffalo State University · USWeifang Medical University · CN

Funding

Culture, Risk Factors and Suicide Attempt in Rural ChinaR01MH068560 · NIMH · RESEARCH FOUNDATION OF SUNY AT BUFFALO STATE COLLEGE · PI ZHANG, JIE · 2005 to 2013
$2.0M
NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH068560
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aimed to establish and assess the Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) prediction model for suicide attempt, so as to improve the individual prediction accuracy.

methodData was collected from a wide range case-control suicide attempt survey. 659 serious suicide attempters (case group) were randomly recruited through the hospital emergency and patient registration system from 13 rural counties in China. Each case was matched the control by same community, gender, and similar age (± 2 ages). Face to face interviews were conducted for each subject with structured questionnaire. Logistic regression was applied to preliminarily screen the factors and BPNN was used to establish the prediction model of suicide attempt.

resultsMultivariate logistic regression indicated that family history of suicide (OR = 4.146), mental problem (OR = 3.876) Low education level, poor health, aspiration strain, hopelessness, impulsivity, depression are the risk predictors and social support, coping skills, healthy community are the protect predictors for suicide attempt. Repetitious data simulation process of BPNN indicated that three-layer BPNN with 9 hidden layer neurons is the optimal prediction model. The sensitivity (67.6%), specificity (93.9%), positive predictive value (86.0%), negative predictive value (84.1%), total coincidence rate (84.6%) manifested that it is excellent to distinguish suicide attempt case.

conclusionsThe BPNN method is applicative, feasible, credible and good discriminative effect for suicide attempt. The BPNN established has significant clinical meaning for the clinical psychiatrist and lay theoretical foundation for artificial intelligence expert assisted diagnosis system for suicide attempt in the future.

Indexed as

Neural Networks, ComputerAdaptation, PsychologicalAdolescentAdultAsian PeopleCase-Control StudiesChildChinaDepressive DisorderFemaleHumansImpulsive BehaviorLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsBP neural networkChinese rural residentsCrisis interventionPrediction modelSuicide attempt

Identifiers

PMID30599370
PMCPMC6430644
OpenAlexW2908069682

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.