Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30598236›Full record

ArticleBehaviour research and therapy2019

Predicting suicide attempts among soldiers who deny suicidal ideation in the Army Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers (Army STARRS).

Samantha L Bernecker, Kelly L Zuromski, Peter M Gutierrez, Thomas E Joiner, Andrew J King, Howard Liu, Matthew K Nock, Nancy A Sampson, Alan M Zaslavsky, Murray B Stein and 2 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Behaviour research and therapy, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Artificial Intelligence and Suicide Prevention: A Systematic Review of Machine Learning Investigations.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Pooled it
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  11. Artificial intelligence and suicide prevention: a systematic review.European psychiatry : the journal of the Association of European Psychiatrists · 2022
    Review
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  15. The Role of Past Suicidal Behavior on Current Suicidality: A Retrospective Study in the Israeli Military.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Samantha L BerneckerDepartment of Psychology, Harvard University, 33 Kirkland St, Cambridge, MA, USA; Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, 180 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA, USA.
Kelly L ZuromskiDepartment of Psychology, Harvard University, 33 Kirkland St, Cambridge, MA, USA; Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, 180 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA, USA.
Peter M GutierrezDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Colorado School of Medicine; and Rocky Mountain Mental Illness Research, Education, and Clinical Center, Rocky Mountain Regional Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Aurora, CO, USA.
Thomas E JoinerDepartment of Psychology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA.
Andrew J KingDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, 180 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA, USA.
Howard LiuDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, 180 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA, USA.
Matthew K NockDepartment of Psychology, Harvard University, 33 Kirkland St, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Nancy A SampsonDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, 180 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA, USA.
Alan M ZaslavskyDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, 180 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA, USA.
Murray B SteinDepartment of Psychiatry and Department of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Robert J UrsanoCenter for the Study of Traumatic Stress, Department of Psychiatry, Uniformed Services University School of Medicine, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Ronald C KesslerDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, 180 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: kessler@hcp.med.harvard.edu.
Harvard University · USFlorida State University · USRocky Mountain MS Center · USUniformed Services University of the Health Sciences · USUniversity of California San Diego · US

Funding

Modifiable Risk and Protective Factors for Suicidal Behaviors in the US ArmyU01MH087981 · NIMH · HENRY M. JACKSON FDN FOR THE ADV MIL/MED · PI STEIN, MURRAY B., URSANO, ROBERT J. · 2009 to 2013
$65.0M
NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH087981
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Most nonfatal suicide attempts and suicide deaths occur among patients who deny suicidal ideation (SI) during suicide risk screenings. Little is known about risk factors for suicidal behaviors among such patients. We investigated this in a representative sample of U.S. Army soldiers who denied lifetime SI in a survey and were then followed through administrative records for up to 45 months to learn of administratively-recorded suicide attempts (SA). A novel two-stage risk assessment approach was used that combined first-stage prediction from administrative records to find the subsample of SI deniers with highest subsequent SA risk and then used survey reports to estimate a second-stage model identifying the subset of individuals in the high-risk subsample at highest SA risk. 70% of survey respondents denied lifetime SI. Administrative data identified 30% of this 70% who accounted for 81.2% of subsequent administratively-recorded SAs. A relatively small number of self-report survey variables were then used to create a prediction model that identified 10% of the first-stage high-risk sample (i.e., 3% of all soldiers) at highest SA risk (accounting for 45% of SAs in the total sample). We close by discussing potential applications of this approach for identifying future SI deniers at highest SA risk.

Indexed as

Suicidal IdeationAge FactorsBrain Injuries, TraumaticEducational StatusEmigrants and ImmigrantsEthnicityHumansMachine LearningMental DisordersMilitary PersonnelPsychological TraumaRisk AssessmentSelf ReportSex OffensesStress, PsychologicalSuicide, AttemptedArmyMachine learningMilitaryRisk assessmentSuicidal ideationSuicide attempt

Identifiers

PMID30598236
PMCPMC7594446
OpenAlexW2902573096

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.