Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30594260›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene2019

Increase in Reported Cholera Cases in Haiti Following Hurricane Matthew: An Interrupted Time Series Model.

Erin Hulland, Saleena Subaiya, Katilla Pierre, Nickolson Barthelemy, Jean Samuel Pierre, Amber Dismer, Stanley Juin, David Fitter, Joan Brunkard

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Global Patterns of Trends in Cholera Mortality.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023
    Article
  6. Haiti's right to remedy and health-an urgent call to action.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2022
    Article
  7. Perspectives on the Health Effects of Hurricanes: A Review and Challenges.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Erin HullandDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Saleena SubaiyaGlobal Immunization Division, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Katilla PierreMSPP Haiti, Directorate of Epidemiology, Laboratory and Research, Delmas, Haiti.
Nickolson BarthelemyMSPP Haiti, Directorate of Epidemiology, Laboratory and Research, Delmas, Haiti.
Jean Samuel PierreMSPP Haiti, Directorate of Epidemiology, Laboratory and Research, Delmas, Haiti.
Amber DismerDivision of Global Health Protection, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Stanley JuinCenters for Disease Control and Prevention Haiti, Tabarre, Haiti.
David FitterCenters for Disease Control and Prevention Haiti, Tabarre, Haiti.
Joan BrunkardDivision of Foodborne, Waterborne and Environmental Diseases, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Matthew, a category 4 hurricane, struck Haiti on October 4, 2016, causing widespread flooding and damage to buildings and crops, and resulted in many deaths. The damage caused by Matthew raised concerns of increased cholera transmission particularly in Sud and Grand'Anse departments, regions which were hit most heavily by the storm. To evaluate the change in reported cholera cases following Hurricane Matthew on reported cholera cases, we used interrupted time series regression models of daily reported cholera cases, controlling for the impact of both rainfall, following a 4-week lag, and seasonality, from 2013 through 2016. Our results indicate a significant increase in reported cholera cases after Matthew, suggesting that the storm resulted in an immediate surge in suspect cases, and a decline in reported cholera cases in the 46-day post-storm period, after controlling for rainfall and seasonality. Regression models stratified by the department indicate that the impact of the hurricane was regional, with larger surges in the two most highly storm-affected departments: Sud and Grand'Anse. These models were able to provide input to the Ministry of Health in Haiti on the national and regional impact of Hurricane Matthew and, with further development, could provide the flexibility of use in other emergency situations. This article highlights the need for continued cholera prevention and control efforts, particularly in the wake of natural disasters such as hurricanes, and the continued need for intensive cholera surveillance nationally.

Indexed as

Cyclonic StormsDisastersCholeraCommunicable Disease ControlDisease NotificationFloodsHaitiHospitalsHumansInterrupted Time Series AnalysisVibrio cholerae

Identifiers

PMID30594260
PMCPMC6367609

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.