Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30593549›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2018

Comparison of standardised mortality ratios for renal failure before and after the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami: an analysis of national vital statistics.

Rumi Tsukinoki, Yoshitaka Murakami, Miyuki Kawado, Shuji Hashimoto

Open access · goldAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Rumi TsukinokiDepartment of Public Health Nursing, Japanese Red Cross College of Nursing, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-7344-6618
Yoshitaka MurakamiDepartment of Medical Statistics, Toho University, Tokyo, Japan.
Miyuki KawadoDepartment of Hygiene, Fujita Health University School of Medicine, Aichi, Japan.
Shuji HashimotoDepartment of Hygiene, Fujita Health University School of Medicine, Aichi, Japan.
Fujita Health University · JPJapanese Red Cross College of Nursing · JPToho University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe impact of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake on renal failure (RF) risk remains unclear. We examined the 1-year impact of this disaster on RF mortality.

settingThis ecological study focused on the year before and after the earthquake. The data sources were national vital statistics (2010-2012), the national census (2010) and the Basic Resident Registration (2010-2012).

participantsOur study included all residents in Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima, 1 year before and after the earthquake. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: We calculated standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) for RF, chronic RF and acute RF. Postearthquake weekly SMRs were calculated using the number of RF deaths for the corresponding weeks in 2010 as a reference. The SMRs for RF were compared between the coastal and inland municipalities using kernel-weighted polynomial smoothing.

resultsThere were 1290 RF deaths in the three prefectures during the year after the earthquake (chronic RF: 804 and acute RF: 236). The SMR for RF increased significantly in the first week after the earthquake in coastal areas (3.11; 95% CI: 1.84 to 4.37), but did not increase in inland areas (0.93; 95% CI: 0.47 to 1.38). A similar trend was observed for chronic RF (coastal: 4.0; 95% CI: 2.0 to 6.0; inland: 1.1; 95% CI: 0.4 to 1.7). SMRs for RF and chronic RF decreased over time and reached 1.0 approximately 20 weeks after the disaster. Changes in SMRs for acute RF were not apparent due to the low number of deaths.

conclusionsMortality due to RF and chronic RF, but not acute RF, increased in coastal areas after the earthquake. Chronic RF may have been exacerbated by disaster-induced sympathetic activation and poor management of renal dysfunction. Increased hypertension and damage to essential infrastructure and medical equipment may also have increased mortality in people with kidney disease.

Indexed as

EarthquakesTsunamisAcute Kidney InjuryAdolescentAdultAgedCause of DeathChildChild, PreschoolFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansInfantInfant, NewbornJapanKidney Failure, Chronicacute renal failurechronic renal failureearthquakeepidemiologypublic health

Identifiers

PMID30593549
PMCPMC6318511
OpenAlexW2907657813

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.