Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30588090›Full record

ArticleCancer management and research2018

Nomograms for predicting survival outcomes in patients with primary tracheal tumors: a large population-based analysis.

Junmiao Wen, Di Liu, Xinyan Xu, Donglai Chen, Yongbing Chen, Liang Sun, Jiayan Chen, Min Fan

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Article in Cancer management and research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

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16citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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  12. Nomogram to Predict the Overall Survival of Colorectal Cancer Patients: A Multicenter National Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Junmiao WenDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, People's Republic of China, chenjiayan@fudan.edu.cn.
Di LiuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, People's Republic of China, chenjiayan@fudan.edu.cn.
Xinyan XuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, People's Republic of China, chenjiayan@fudan.edu.cn.
Donglai ChenDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200433, People's Republic of China.
Yongbing ChenDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Medical College of Soochow University, Suzhou 215000, People's Republic of China.
Liang SunSchool of Radiation Medicine and Protection, Medical College of Soochow University, Suzhou 215123, People's Republic of China.
Jiayan ChenDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, People's Republic of China, chenjiayan@fudan.edu.cn.
Min FanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai 200032, People's Republic of China, chenjiayan@fudan.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe aim of this study was to develop and validate reliable nomograms to predict individual overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) for patients with primary tracheal tumors and further estimate the role of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) for these entities. PATIENTS AND

methodsA total of 405 eligible patients diagnosed between 1988 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. All of them were randomly divided into training (n=303) and validation (n=102) sets. For the purpose of establishing nomograms, the Akaike information criterion was employed to select significant prognostic factors in multivariate Cox regression models. Both internal and external validations of the nomograms were evaluated by Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots. Propensity score matching (PSM) method was performed to reduce the influence of selection bias between the PORT group and the non-PORT group.

resultsTwo nomograms shared common variables including age at diagnosis, histology, N and M stages, tumor size, and treatment types, while gender was only incorporated in the CSS nomogram. The C-indices of OS and CSS nomograms were 0.817 and 0.813, displaying considerable predictive accuracy. The calibration curves indicated consistency between the nomograms and the actual observations. When the nomograms were applied to the validation set, the results remained reconcilable. Moreover, the nomograms showed superiority over the Bhattacharyya's staging system with regard to the C-indices. After PSM, PORT was not associated with significantly better OS or CSS. Only squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) patients in the PORT group had improved OS compared to non-PORT group.

conclusionThe first two nomograms for predicting survival in patients with primary tracheal tumors were proposed in the present study. PORT seems to improve the prognosis of SCC patients, which needs further exploration.

Indexed as

cancer-specific survivalnomogramoverall survivalprimary tracheal tumorspropensity score matching analysis

Identifiers

PMID30588090
PMCPMC6294060

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