Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30587159›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2018

Seasonal dynamics of influenza in Brazil: the latitude effect.

Alexandra Almeida, Cláudia Codeço, Paula M Luz

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Alexandra AlmeidaEscola Nacional de Saúde Pública, FIOCRUZ, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. alexandra.almeida@fiocruz.br.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2092-5070
Cláudia CodeçoPrograma de Computação Científica, FIOCRUZ, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil.
Paula M LuzInstituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas, FIOCRUZ, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInfluenza is a global transmissible disease. Its dynamics is far better understood in temperate climates than in the tropics. We aim to close this knowledge gap between tropical and temperate regions by showing how the influenza seasonality evolves in Brazil, a tropical country that encompasses a wide range of latitudes and six climatic sub-types.

methodsWe analyzed a state-level, weekly Syndrome of Acute Respiratory Disease (SARI) incidence data ranging from 2010 to 2016. We combined two techniques hierarchically: first the wavelet decomposition technique to detect annual periodicity and then circular statistics to describe seasonal measures of the periodic states.

resultsWe found significant annual periodicity in 44% of the states. For these, we calculated several seasonal measures such as the center of gravity or mean timing of activity. The relationship between the seasonal signatures and latitude was clear and statistically significant. States with seasonal signature are clustered along the coast. Most Amazonian and Central West states exhibit no seasonal behavior. Among the seasonal states, influenza starts in Northeast region, spreading southbound.

conclusionsOur study advances the comprehension of influenza seasonality in tropical areas and could be used to design more effective prevention and control strategies.

Indexed as

SeasonsBrazilEcologyGeographyHumansIncidenceInfluenza, HumanRespiratory Distress SyndromeWavelet AnalysisCircularInfluenzaSeasonalityWavelet decomposition

Identifiers

PMID30587159
PMCPMC6307116

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.