Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30587142›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2018

Changing epidemiological patterns of HIV and AIDS in China in the post-SARS era identified by the nationwide surveillance system.

Zhenqiu Liu, Oumin Shi, Qiong Yan, Qiwen Fang, Jialu Zuo, Yue Chen, Xingdong Chen, Tiejun Zhang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Zhenqiu LiuState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering and Collaborative Innovation Center for Genetics and Development, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Oumin ShiShenzhen Second People's Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.
Qiong YanDepartment of Child and Maternal Health, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Qiwen FangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Jialu ZuoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Yue ChenSchool of Epidemiology and Public Health Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada.
Xingdong ChenState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering and Collaborative Innovation Center for Genetics and Development, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China. xingdongchen@fudan.edu.cn.
Tiejun ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China. tjzhang@shmu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5244-6894
Fudan University · CNShenzhen Second People's Hospital · CNUniversity of Ottawa · CA

Funding

Ministry of Education of China 20120071120050National Natural Science Foundation of China 81772170, 81502870Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai 17ZR1401400
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChina has made substantial progress in tackling its HIV and AIDS epidemic. But the changing patterns of HIV and AIDS incidence based on the longitudinal observation data were rarely studied.

methodsThe reporting incidence (RI) and mortality data on HIV and AIDS in China covering 31 provinces from 2004 to 2014 were collected from the Chinese Public Health Science Data Center. To decompose the time-series data, Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) was applied to properly describe the trends of HIV and AIDS incidence. A mathematical model was used to estimate the relative change of incidence among provinces and age groups.

resultsA total of 483,010 newly HIV infections and 214,205 AIDS cases were reported between 2004 and 2014 nationwide. HIV infection increased from 13,258 in 2004 (RI 1.02 per 100,000 person years) to 74,048 in 2014 (RI 5.46 per 100,000). The number of AIDS cases increased from 3054 in 2004 (RI 0.23 per 100,000) to 45,145 in 2014 (RI 3.33 per 100,000). The overall relative changes for HIV infection and AIDS incidence were 1.11 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.13) and 1.28 (95% CI 1.23-1.33), respectively. The relative increase for HIV and AIDS RI was higher in northwest provinces while lower in Henan, Xinjiang, Guangxi and Yunnan. The overall relative changes for HIV infection were 1.12 (95% CI 1.11-1.14) in males and 1.10 (95% CI 1.06-1.13) in females. For AIDS RI, the relative increases were 1.31 (95% CI 1.26-1.36) in males and 1.22 (95% CI 1.17-1.28) in females. The lowest relative increase was detected among young adults, while the largest relative increase (odds ratio [OR] > 1.30) was detected in people aged 55 years or above.

conclusionsHIV and AIDS showed an increasing trend in China from 2004 to 2014, respectively, but the epidemic tended to be under control among provinces and young people that used to have a high HIV and AIDS incidence. Northwest China and older people could be new "hop-spots" for HIV and AIDS risk.

Indexed as

Acquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolChinaEpidemicsFemaleHIVHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornChinaEpidemiologyHIV and AIDSIncidenceSurveillance

Identifiers

PMID30587142
PMCPMC6307199
OpenAlexW2906914853

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.