Trial reportCirculation2019
Performance of the ABC Scores for Assessing the Risk of Stroke or Systemic Embolism and Bleeding in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation in ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48.
Trial report in Circulation, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 65 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
A Phase 3, Randomized, Double-Blind, Double-Dummy, Parallel Group, Multi-Center, Multi-National Study for Evaluation of Efficacy and Safety of Edoxaban (DU-176b) Versus Warfarin In Subjects With Atrial Fibrillation - Effective Anticoagulation With Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation (ENGAGE - AF TIMI - 48)
Impact of Catheter Ablation of Atrial Tachyarrhythmias on ABC Stroke and ABC Bleeding Risk Scores
Who cites it
65 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 138 citations in OpenAlex.
- Residual Stroke Risk Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Prescribed Oral Anticoagulants: A Patient-Level Meta-Analysis From COMBINE AF.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2024Pooled it
- Comprehensive comparison of stroke risk score performance: a systematic review and meta-analysis among 6 267 728 patients with atrial fibrillation.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2022Pooled it
- Relationship between serum growth differentiation factor 15, fibroblast growth factor-23 and risk of atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022Pooled it
- Effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulant therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation with prior gastrointestinal bleeding: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022Pooled it
- Diagnostic Accuracy of the HAS-BLED Bleeding Score in VKA- or DOAC-Treated Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2021Pooled it
- The impact of growth differentiation factor 15 on the risk of cardiovascular diseases: two-sample Mendelian randomization study.BMC cardiovascular disorders · 2020Pooled it
- Plasma Biomarkers to Predict Cardiovascular Outcome in Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Arteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology · 2020Pooled it
- Trial
- The ABC-Stroke Risk Score and Effects of Atrial Fibrillation Screening on Stroke Prevention: Results From the Randomized LOOP Study.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2024Trial
- Left atrial appendage thrombus formation, potential of resolution and association with prognosis in a large real-world cohort.Scientific reports · 2023Trial
- Growth differentiation factor-15 for prediction of bleeding in cancer patients.Journal of thrombosis and haemostasis : JTH · 2022Trial
- Patients with perceived high-bleeding risk and computerized decision support for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: an AF-ALERT substudy : Piazza: outcomes of high-bleeding risk AF patients.Journal of thrombosis and thrombolysis · 2021Trial
- Association Between Mean Left Atrial Voltage and Prior Ischemic Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation: A Single-Center Cross-Sectional Study.Journal of clinical medicine · 2026Article
- Advances in Clinical Cardiology 2025: A Summary of Key Clinical Trials.Advances in therapy · 2026Review
- Efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants for intermediate stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (SINGLE-AF): Study design and protocol.Heart rhythm O2 · 2026Article
- Prognostic Value of SII for Prediction of Pharmacological Cardioversion Success in Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation.Journal of clinical medicine · 2026Article
- GDF15 as a sentinel of metabolic integrity: a narrative review of stress signaling, multisystem pathophysiology, and therapeutic potential.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2026Review
- Development and validation of interpretable machine learning models for predicting stroke in NVAF patients with CHAFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2026Article
- Association Between Growth Differentiation Factor-15 and Coagulation Parameters in Male Chinese Patients With Coronary Artery Disease.Reviews in cardiovascular medicine · 2026Article
- Research on left atrial appendage thrombogenic milieu prediction model in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation based on machine learning algorithm.BMC cardiovascular disorders · 2025Article
5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe ABC (age, biomarker, clinical history)-stroke and ABC-bleeding risk scores incorporate clinical variables and cardiovascular biomarkers to estimate risk of stroke or systemic embolic events and bleeding, respectively, in patients with atrial fibrillation. These scores have been proposed for routine clinical use, but their performance in external cohorts remains uncertain.
methodsENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 (Effective Anticoagulation With Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 48) was a multinational randomized trial of the oral factor Xa inhibitor edoxaban in patients with atrial fibrillation and a CHADS
resultsMedian baseline hsTnT, NT-proBNP, and GDF-15 levels were 13.7 ng/L (25th-75th percentiles, 9.6-20.4 ng/L), 811 pg/mL (386-1436 pg/mL), and 1661 pg/mL (1179-2427 pg/mL), respectively. Elevated hsTnT, NT-proBNP, and GDF-15 were independently associated with higher rates of stroke or systemic embolic events, and elevated hsTnT and GDF-15 were independently associated with higher rates of major bleeding ( P<0.001 for each). The ABC-stroke and ABC-bleeding scores were well calibrated and yielded higher c indexes than the CHA
conclusionsThe ABC-stroke and ABC-bleeding scores evaluated in this anticoagulated clinical trial cohort were well calibrated and outperformed the CHA CLINICAL
trial registrationURL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00781391.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.