Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30586710›Full record

ArticleCirculation2019

Refining Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation-Related Stroke Using the P

Ankit Maheshwari, Faye L Norby, Nicholas S Roetker, Elsayed Z Soliman, Ryan J Koene, Mary R Rooney, Wesley T O'Neal, Amil M Shah, Brian L Claggett, Scott D Solomon and 4 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
9.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 101 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Comprehensive comparison of stroke risk score performance: a systematic review and meta-analysis among 6 267 728 patients with atrial fibrillation.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2022
    Pooled it
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  6. Observational
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  11. Atrial Cardiomyopathy: From Diagnosis to Treatment.Reviews in cardiovascular medicine · 2025
    Review
  12. Study of P wave dispersion in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and its role in prediction of atrial fibrillation recurrence.The Egyptian heart journal : (EHJ) : official bulletin of the Egyptian Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  13. Review
  14. The multifaceted roles of activating transcription factor 3 (ATF3) in inflammatory responses - Potential target to regulate neuroinflammation in acute brain injury.Journal of cerebral blood flow and metabolism : official journal of the International Society of Cerebral Blood Flow and Metabolism · 2023
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ankit MaheshwariHospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia (A.M.).
Faye L NorbyUniversity of Minnesota, Minneapolis (F.L.N., N.S.R., R.J.K., M.R.R., L.Y.C.).
Nicholas S RoetkerUniversity of Minnesota, Minneapolis (F.L.N., N.S.R., R.J.K., M.R.R., L.Y.C.).
Elsayed Z SolimanWake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC (E.Z.S.).
Ryan J KoeneUniversity of Minnesota, Minneapolis (F.L.N., N.S.R., R.J.K., M.R.R., L.Y.C.).
Mary R RooneyUniversity of Minnesota, Minneapolis (F.L.N., N.S.R., R.J.K., M.R.R., L.Y.C.).
Wesley T O'NealEmory University, Atlanta, GA (W.T.O., A.A.).
Amil M ShahBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA (A.M.S., B.L.C., S.D.S.).
Brian L ClaggettBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA (A.M.S., B.L.C., S.D.S.).
Scott D SolomonBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA (A.M.S., B.L.C., S.D.S.).
Alvaro AlonsoEmory University, Atlanta, GA (W.T.O., A.A.).
Rebecca F GottesmanJohns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD (R.F.G.).
Susan R HeckbertUniversity of Washington, Seattle, (S.R.H.).
Lin Y ChenUniversity of Minnesota, Minneapolis (F.L.N., N.S.R., R.J.K., M.R.R., L.Y.C.).
Wake Forest University · US

Funding

Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR001079 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2013 to 2017
$60.1M
Wake Forest Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR001420 · NCATS · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI ARD, JAMY D, FOLEY, KRISTIE L · 2015 to 2023
$32.3M
Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000040 · NCATS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GINSBERG, HENRY N · 2012 to 2015
$26.2M
Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology &Prevention TrngT32HL007779 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI PAMELA L. Lutsey, JAMES S PANKOW · 1994 to 2026
$9.3M
Atrial fibrillation burden, vascular disease of the brain and cardiac MRI in MESAR01HL127659 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI HECKBERT, SUSAN R · 2015 to 2018
$7.4M
Significance of Atrial Fibrillation and Atrial Fibrillation Burden Detected by Novel ECG Monitoring in Community-Dwelling ElderlyR01HL126637 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI CHEN, LIN YEE · 2016 to 2020
$3.7M
Left Atrial Abnormality and Atrial Fibrillation-Related Cerebral Infarcts and Cognitive DeclineR01HL141288 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI CHEN, LIN YEE · 2018 to 2021
$2.1M
Cigarette Smoke and Susceptibility to Influenza InfectionR01HL095163 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI JASPERS, ILONA, NOAH, TERRY L · 2009 to 2013
$2.0M
Adjunctive Use of Apyrase to Fibrinolytic TherapyR44HL095169 · NHLBI · APT THERAPEUTICS, INC. · PI CHEN, RIDONG · 2012 to 2013
$1.3M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDYN01HC095166 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 1999 to 2001
$758k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY-FIELD CENTERN01HC095162 · HC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SZKLO, MOYSES A · 1999 to 2000
$694k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095161 · HC · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SHEA, STEVEN · 1999 to 2001
$642k
American Heart Association-American Stroke Association 16EIA26410001NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000040NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001079NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001420NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005GNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100006CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100007CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100007INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100008CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100008INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100009CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100009INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100010CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100011CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100011INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100012CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500003CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500003INHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL152008NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095160NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095161NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095162NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095163NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095164NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095165NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095166NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095167NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095168NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095169NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL126637NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL127659NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL141288NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007779
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn people with atrial fibrillation (AF), periods of sinus rhythm present an opportunity to detect prothrombotic atrial remodeling through measurement of P-wave indices (PWIs)-prolonged P-wave duration, abnormal P-wave axis, advanced interatrial block, and abnormal P-wave terminal force in lead V1. We hypothesized that the addition of PWIs to the CHA

methodsWe included 2229 participants from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) and 700 participants from MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) with incident AF who were not on anticoagulants within 1 year of AF diagnosis. PWIs were obtained from study visit ECGs before development of AF. AF was ascertained using study visit ECGs and hospital records. Ischemic stroke cases were based on physician adjudication of hospital records. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CIs of PWIs for ischemic stroke. Improvement in 1-year stroke prediction was assessed by C-statistic, categorical net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement.

resultsAbnormal P-wave axis was the only PWI associated with increased ischemic stroke risk (hazard ratio, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.33-2.55) independent of CHA

conclusionsAbnormal P-wave axis-an ECG correlate of left atrial abnormality- improves ischemic stroke prediction in AF. Compared with CHA

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesElectrocardiographyAction PotentialsAgedAged, 80 and overAtrial FibrillationAtrial Function, LeftAtrial RemodelingBrain IschemiaFemaleHeart AtriaHeart RateHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle Agedatrial fibrillationstroke

Identifiers

PMID30586710
PMCPMC6481672
OpenAlexW2909372829

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.