Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30581093›Full record

ArticlePreventive veterinary medicine2020

Inferences about the transmission of lumpy skin disease virus between herds from outbreaks in Albania in 2016.

Simon Gubbins, Arjan Stegeman, Eyal Klement, Ledi Pite, Alessandro Broglia, José Cortiñas Abrahantes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Preventive veterinary medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  9. Detection ofViruses · 2023
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  15. Review
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  17. Mechanical Transmission of Lumpy Skin Disease Virus byAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2020
    Article
  18. Lumpy skin disease: III. Data collection and analysis.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2019
    Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Simon GubbinsThe Pirbright Institute, Ash Road, Pirbright, Surrey GU24 0NF, UK. Electronic address: simon.gubbins@pirbright.ac.uk.
Arjan StegemanUtrecht University, Department of Farm Animal Health, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Eyal KlementKoret School of Veterinary Medicine, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel.
Ledi PiteMinistry of Agriculture and Rural Development, Sector of Epidemiology and Identification and Registration, Tirana, Albania.
Alessandro BrogliaEuropean Food Safety Authority, Via Carlo Magno 1A, 43126 Parma, Italy.
José Cortiñas AbrahantesEuropean Food Safety Authority, Via Carlo Magno 1A, 43126 Parma, Italy.

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BBS/E/I/00007033Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BBS/E/I/00007036Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BBS/E/I/00007037
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Lumpy skin disease has recently emerged as a major threat to cattle populations outside of Africa, where it is endemic. In 2015 the first ever European outbreaks occurred in Greece, which were followed by spread across much of the Balkans in 2016. Here we use a simple mathematical model for the transmission of lumpy skin disease virus (LSDV) between herds to explore factors influencing its spread by fitting it to data on outbreaks in Albania in 2016. We show that most transmission occurs over short distances (<5 km), but with an appreciable probability of transmission at longer distances. We also show that there is evidence for seasonal variation in the force of infection associated with temperature, possibly through its influence on the relative abundance of the stable fly, Stomoxys calcitrans. These two results together are consistent with LSDV being transmitted by the bites of blood-feeding insects, though further work is required to incriminate specific species as vectors. Finally, we show that vaccination has a significant impact on spread and estimate the vaccine effectiveness to be 76%.

Indexed as

AlbaniaAnimalsCattleDisease OutbreaksLumpy Skin DiseaseLumpy skin disease virusModels, TheoreticalMuscidaePopulation DynamicsSeasonsTemperatureCattleEpidemiologyLSDVMathematical modellingVaccination

Identifiers

PMID30581093
PMCPMC7456782

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.