Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30578962›Full record

ArticleJournal of health economics2019

Can a conditional cash transfer reduce teen fertility? The case of Brazil's Bolsa Familia.

Zachary Olson, Rachel Gardner Clark, Sarah Anne Reynolds

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of health economics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  8. Adolescent pregnancy, public policies, and targeted programs in Latin America and the Caribbean: a systematic review.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Zachary OlsonUniversity of California, Berkeley, School of Public Health, Berkeley, CA, United States. Electronic address: zolson@berkeley.edu.
Rachel Gardner ClarkCity of Tacoma, Tacoma, WA, United States.
Sarah Anne ReynoldsUniversity of California, Berkeley, School of Public Health, Berkeley, CA, United States.
Berkeley Public Health Division · USUniversity of California, Berkeley · USUniversity of Washington Tacoma · US

Funding

INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING IN DEMOGRAPHYT32HD007275 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI FEEHAN, DENNIS MICHAEL · 1985 to 2025
$5.3M
How Father & Grandparent Household Transitions Impact Child Growth and CognitionK99HD088751 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI REYNOLDS, SARAH ANNE · 2017 to 2018
$248k
NICHD NIH HHS K99 HD088751NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007275
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2008, Brazil's conditional cash transfer program expanded to cover a wider range of ages. Poor families are now given stipends for their children's school attendance up to age seventeen, whereas prior the maximum age was fifteen. Using a nationally representative household survey, we estimate the impact of this policy on teen fertility with a triple difference analysis on the fertility outcomes of treated cohorts vs. non-treated cohorts based on income eligibility, age eligibility, and timing of program implementation. We find a three percentage point drop in fertility among eligible teens within five years of program implementation. This offsets the difference in fertility between poor and non-poor teens. The impact is concentrated in urban areas, with no program effects found in rural areas. We are able to replicate these findings using National Birth Registry Data.

Indexed as

Birth RateAdolescentAge FactorsBrazilFemaleHumansIncomeModels, StatisticalPregnancyPregnancy in AdolescencePublic AssistanceBolsa FamiliaBrazilConditional cash transferPovertyTeen pregnancy

Identifiers

PMID30578962
PMCPMC6382519
OpenAlexW2898847256

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.