Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30576462›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2019

Role of Screening History in Clinical Meaning and Optimal Management of Positive Cervical Screening Results.

Philip E Castle, Walter K Kinney, Xiaonan Xue, Li C Cheung, Julia C Gage, Nancy E Poitras, Thomas S Lorey, Hormuzd A Katki, Nicolas Wentzensen, Mark Schiffman

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Assessing 10-Year Safety of a Single Negative HPV Test for Cervical Cancer Screening: Evidence from FOCAL-DECADE Cohort.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2021
    Trial
  2. Article
  3. Impact of repeatedly screening negative on cervical cancer risk.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. The Improving Risk Informed HPV Screening (IRIS) Study: Design and Baseline Characteristics.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
    Article
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  8. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Philip E CastleSee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Walter K Kinney
Xiaonan XueSee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Li C CheungSee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Julia C GageSee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Nancy E PoitrasSee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Thomas S LoreySee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Hormuzd A KatkiSee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Nicolas WentzensenSee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Mark SchiffmanSee the Notes section for the full list of authors' affiliations.
Kaiser Permanente · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCervical cancer is caused by persistent human papillomavirus (HPV) infection. US consensus management guidelines for a positive cervical screening result typically focus on the current screening result only. A negative testing history may alter risk of the following positive screening results, caused by a new HPV infection, and therefore its optimal management.

methodsWomen ages 30 years and older were screened with triennial HPV and cytology co-testing at Kaiser Permanente Northern California from 2003 to 2014. We estimated the subsequent 5-year risks of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or more severe diagnoses (CIN3+) in a cohort of 1 156 387 women following abnormal (atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance [ASC-US] or worse) cytology and/or positive HPV testing, when the test result followed 0 (n = 990 013), 1 (n = 543 986), 2 (n = 245 974), or 3 (n = 79 946) consecutive negative co-test(s). All statistical tests were two-sided.

resultsFollowing 0-3 successive negative co-tests, 5-year CIN3+ risks following a positive HPV test decreased progressively from 7.2% (95% CI = 7.0% to 7.4%) to 1.5% (95% CI = 0.7% to 3.4%) (Ptrend < .001). Similarly, risks following an abnormal (ASC-US or worse) cytology result decreased from 6.6% (95% CI = 6.4% to 6.9%) to 1.1% (95% CI = 0.5% to 2.3%) (Ptrend < .001). Risks following low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion, the risk threshold for referral to colposcopy in the United States, decreased from 5.2% (95% CI = 4.7% to 5.7%) to 0.9% (95% CI = 0.2% to 4.3%). Risks following high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion or more severe, a specific marker for the presence of precancerous lesions, decreased from 50.0% (95% CI = 47.5% to 52.5%) to 10.0% (95% CI = 2.6% to 34.4%).

conclusionsFollowing one or more sequential antecedent, documented negative co-tests or HPV tests, women with HPV-positive ASC-US or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion might have sufficiently low CIN3+ risk that they do not need colposcopy referral and might instead undergo 6-12-month surveillance for evidence of higher risk before being referred to colposcopy.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerAdultAgedColposcopyFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPapanicolaou TestPapillomaviridaePapillomavirus InfectionsPregnancyRisk AssessmentSquamous Intraepithelial LesionsUnited StatesUterine Cervical NeoplasmsVaginal Smears

Identifiers

PMID30576462
PMCPMC6695308
OpenAlexW2906060544

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.