Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30575720›Full record

ArticleNature communications2018

The utility of serology for elimination surveillance of trachoma.

Amy Pinsent, Anthony W Solomon, Robin L Bailey, Rhiannon Bid, Anaseini Cama, Deborah Dean, Brook Goodhew, Sarah E Gwyn, Kelvin R Jack, Ram Prasad Kandel and 12 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 60 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Fine-scale heterogeneity inProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Data Resource Profile: Global Trachoma Serology Data Repository.International journal of epidemiology · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Monitoring transmission intensity of trachoma with serology.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Lessons learned from the implementation of integrated serosurveillance of communicable diseases in the Americas.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 13 institutions in 9 countries.

Amy PinsentDepartment of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia. amy.pinsent@lshtm.ac.uk.
Anthony W SolomonDepartment of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, 1211, Geneva 27, Switzerland.
Robin L BaileyClinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Rhiannon BidClinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Anaseini CamaInternational Agency for the Prevention of Blindness, Western Pacific Region, Suva, Fiji.
Deborah DeanUCSF Benioff Children's Hospital Oakland Research Institute, 5700 Martin Luther King Jr Way, Oakland, CA, 94609, USA.
Brook GoodhewDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA, 30333, USA.
Sarah E GwynDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA, 30333, USA.
Kelvin R JackEyecare Department, Ministry of Health, Honiara, Solomon Islands.
Ram Prasad KandelLumini Eye Hospital, Bhairahawa, Nepal.
Mike KamaDepartment of Communicable Diseases, Ministry of Health, Suva, Fiji.
Patrick MassaeDepartment of Ophthalmology, Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre, Moshi, Tanzania.
Colin MacleodClinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
David C W MabeyClinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Stephanie MigchelsenClinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Andreas MüllerCentre for Eye Research Australia, Level 7/32 Gisborne St, East Melbourne, VIC, 3002, Australia.
Frank SandiDepartment of Ophthalmology, Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre, Moshi, Tanzania.
Oliver SokanaEyecare Department, Ministry of Health, Honiara, Solomon Islands.
Raebwebwe TaoabaEye Department, Ministry of Health and Medical Services, South Tarawa, Kiribati.
Rabebe TekeraoiEye Department, Ministry of Health and Medical Services, South Tarawa, Kiribati.
Diana L MartinDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA, 30333, USA.
Michael T WhiteMalaria: Parasites & Hosts, Department of Parasites and Insect Vectors, Institut Pasteur, 25-28 Rue du Dr Roux, 75015, Paris, France.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USMinistry of Fisheries and Marine Resource Development · KICentre for Eye Research Australia · AUDivision of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria · USFred Hollows Foundation · AUInstitut Pasteur · FRKilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre · TZLumbini Eye Institute · NPMinistry Of Health · FJMonash University · AUThe University of Dodoma · TZUCSF Benioff Children's Hospital · US

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Robust surveillance methods are needed for trachoma control and recrudescence monitoring, but existing methods have limitations. Here, we analyse data from nine trachoma-endemic populations and provide operational thresholds for interpretation of serological data in low-transmission and post-elimination settings. Analyses with sero-catalytic and antibody acquisition models provide insights into transmission history within each population. To accurately estimate sero-conversion rates (SCR) for trachoma in populations with high-seroprevalence in adults, the model accounts for secondary exposure to Chlamydia trachomatis due to urogenital infection. We estimate the population half-life of sero-reversion for anti-Pgp3 antibodies to be 26 (95% credible interval (CrI): 21-34) years. We show SCRs below 0.015 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.0-0.049) per year correspond to a prevalence of trachomatous inflammation-follicular below 5%, the current threshold for elimination of active trachoma as a public health problem. As global trachoma prevalence declines, we may need cross-sectional serological survey data to inform programmatic decisions.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAdolescentAdultAfrica South of the SaharaAge FactorsChildChild, PreschoolChlamydia trachomatisFemaleHumansInfantNepalPacific IslandsPublic Health SurveillanceSeroepidemiologic StudiesTrachoma

Identifiers

PMID30575720
PMCPMC6303365
OpenAlexW2905239938

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.