Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30570827›Full record

ArticleArthritis care & research2019

Impact of Cyclic Citrullinated Peptide Antibody Level on Progression to Rheumatoid Arthritis in Clinically Tested Cyclic Citrullinated Peptide Antibody-Positive Patients Without Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Julia A Ford, Xinyi Liu, Allison A Marshall, Alessandra Zaccardelli, Maria G Prado, Charlene Wiyarand, Bing Lu, Elizabeth W Karlson, Peter H Schur, Kevin D Deane and 1 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis care & research, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04474392 (Sputum Studies of Anti-Citrullinated Protein Antibodies), which is not on this map. Cited by 17 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04474392 completednot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Sputum Studies of Anti-Citrullinated Protein Antibodies (ACPA) and Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) Origins

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of Colorado, DenverRan2020 to 2026Enrolled340ConditionsRheumatoid ArthritisArmsN/A (Observational Study)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Obstructive lung diseases and risk of rheumatoid arthritis.Expert review of clinical immunology · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Julia A FordBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0002-5758-8832
Xinyi LiuBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Allison A MarshallBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, and Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts.
Alessandra ZaccardelliBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Maria G PradoBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Charlene WiyarandBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Bing LuBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Elizabeth W KarlsonBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Peter H SchurBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Kevin D DeaneUniversity of Colorado, Denver, Aurora.
Jeffrey A SparksBrigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0002-5556-4618
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USTufts University · USUniversity of Colorado Denver · US

Funding

VERITY: Value and Evidence in Rheumatology using bioInformaTics, and advanced analYticsP30AR072577 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Daniel Hal Solomon · 2017 to 2026
$9.8M
Joint Biology Consortium Resource-based CenterP30AR070253 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Peter A Nigrovic, Jeffrey Andrew Sparks · 2016 to 2026
$9.4M
Metabolites of Dietary Intake and Risk of Knee OsteoarthritisR01AR074447 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT SCH OF MED/DNT · PI LU, BING · 2019 to 2022
$2.6M
Dietary Quality, Body Adiposity, and Risk of Rheumatoid Arthritis in WomenR01AR071326 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI LU, BING, SOLOMON, DANIEL HAL · 2018 to 2021
$1.8M
Rheumatoid Arthritis and Respiratory Outcomes in Prospective CohortsK23AR069688 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SPARKS, JEFFREY ANDREW · 2016 to 2020
$766k
NIAMS NIH HHS K23 AR069688NIAMS NIH HHS L30 AR066953NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR070253NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR072577NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR071326NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR074447
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo investigate the risk of progression to rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in patients who were cyclic citrullinated peptide (CCP) antibody positive without RA at initial presentation.

methodsWe performed a retrospective cohort study of CCP+ individuals seen at a US tertiary care system between 2009 and 2018 who were without RA or other systemic rheumatic disease by medical record review at the time of CCP antibody positivity. Progression to classifiable RA was determined through medical record review. We investigated the risk of progression to RA overall and stratified by CCP antibody level (low: >1 to 2× the upper limit of normal [ULN]; medium: >2 to 3× ULN; high: >3× ULN). Multivariable Cox regression estimated the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for RA by CCP antibody level.

resultsWe identified 340 CCP+ patients who were without RA or other rheumatic disease at baseline. During 1,047 person-years of follow-up, 73 patients (21.5%) developed RA. The risk of progression to RA increased with CCP antibody level, with 46.0% (95% CI 34.7-55.3) of patients with high-level CCP antibodies progressing to RA by 5 years. Compared to low CCP antibody level, medium (HR 3.00 [95% CI 1.32-6.81]) and high (HR 4.83 [95% CI 2.51-9.31]) CCP antibody levels were strongly associated with progression to RA, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, smoking, family history of RA, and rheumatoid factor level.

conclusionAmong CCP+ patients without RA, the risk for progression to RA increased substantially with increasing CCP antibody level. This study provides further support for close monitoring for development of RA among CCP+ patients and identifying strategies to mitigate this risk.

Indexed as

Anti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesArthritis, RheumatoidAutoantibodiesBiomarkersDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesTime FactorsAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesAutoantibodiesBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID30570827
PMCPMC6586539
OpenAlexW2906216983

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.