Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30567606›Full record

ArticleArthritis research & therapy2018

The value of joint ultrasonography in predicting arthritis in seropositive patients with arthralgia: a prospective cohort study.

Marian H van Beers-Tas, Annelies B Blanken, Mark M J Nielen, Franktien Turkstra, Conny J van der Laken, Marlies Meursinge Reynders, Dirkjan van Schaardenburg

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis research & therapy, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Marian H van Beers-TasAmsterdam Rheumatology and immunology Center | Reade, Dr. Jan van Breemenstraat 2, 1056 AB, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. m.v.beers@reade.nl.
Annelies B BlankenAmsterdam Rheumatology and immunology Center | Reade, Dr. Jan van Breemenstraat 2, 1056 AB, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Mark M J NielenNetherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL), Otterstraat 118-124, 3513 CR, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Franktien TurkstraAmsterdam Rheumatology and immunology Center | Reade, Dr. Jan van Breemenstraat 2, 1056 AB, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Conny J van der LakenAmsterdam Rheumatology and immunology Center, VU University Medical Center, De Boelelaan 1118, 1081 HZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marlies Meursinge ReyndersAmsterdam Rheumatology and immunology Center | Reade, Dr. Jan van Breemenstraat 2, 1056 AB, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Dirkjan van SchaardenburgAmsterdam Rheumatology and immunology Center | Reade, Dr. Jan van Breemenstraat 2, 1056 AB, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Reade · NLAcademic Medical Center · NLAmsterdam UMC Location VUmc · NLNetherlands Institute for Health Services Research · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe value of joint ultrasonography (US) in the prediction of clinical arthritis in individuals at risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is still a point of debate, due to varying scanning protocols and different populations. We investigated whether US abnormalities assessed with a standard joint protocol can predict development of arthritis in seropositive patients with arthralgia.

methodsAnti-citrullinated protein antibodies and/or rheumatoid factor positive patients with arthralgia, but without clinical arthritis were included. US was performed at baseline in 16 joints: bilateral metacarpophalangeal 2-3, proximal interphalangeal 2-3, wrist and metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joints 2-3 and 5. Images were scored semi-quantitatively for synovial thickening and for positive signs on power Doppler (PD). Association between US abnormalities and arthritis development at the joint and at the patient level was evaluated. Also, we investigated the added value of US over clinical parameters.

resultsOut of 163 patients who underwent US examination, 51 (31%) developed clinical arthritis after a median follow-up time of 12 (interquartile range 5-24) months, of which 44 (86%) satisfied the 2010 American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism classification criteria for RA. US revealed synovial thickening and PD in at least one joint in 49 patients (30%) and 7 patients (4%), respectively. Synovial thickening was associated with both development and timing of clinical arthritis in any joint (patient level) when MTP joints were excluded from the US assessment (odds ratio 6.6, confidence interval (CI) 1.9-22), and hazard ratio 3.4, CI 1.6-6.8, respectively, with a mean time to arthritis of 23 versus 45 months when synovial thickening was present versus not present). There was no association between US and arthritis development at the joint level. Predictive capacity was highest in the groups with an intermediate and high risk of developing arthritis based on a prediction rule with clinical parameters.

conclusionsSynovial thickening on US predicted clinical arthritis development at the patient level in seropositive patients with arthralgia when MTPs were excluded from the US assessment. Positive PD signs were infrequently seen in these at-risk individuals and was not predictive. In patients at intermediate risk of RA, US may help to identify those at higher risk of developing arthritis.

Indexed as

AdultAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesArthralgiaArthritisArthritis, RheumatoidFemaleHumansMaleMetatarsophalangeal JointMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsRheumatoid FactorSynovitisUltrasonography, DopplerAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesRheumatoid FactorArthralgia patientsArthritisAutoantibodiesPower DopplerSeropositiveSynovial thicknessUltrasonography

Identifiers

PMID30567606
PMCPMC6300036
OpenAlexW2905174456

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.