Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30566375›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2018

Long-Term Exposure to Ultrafine Particles and Incidence of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease in a Prospective Study of a Dutch Cohort.

George S Downward, Erik J H M van Nunen, Jules Kerckhoffs, Paolo Vineis, Bert Brunekreef, Jolanda M A Boer, Kyle P Messier, Ananya Roy, W Monique M Verschuren, Yvonne T van der Schouw and 4 more

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 69 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
69citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
9.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

69 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 202 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Systematic review and meta-analysis on the health effects of long-term exposure to ultrafine particles.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
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  3. Assessment of long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution: An exposure framework.Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology · 2025
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  20. Indoor/Outdoor Particulate Matter and Related Pollutants in a Sensitive Public Building in Madrid (Spain).International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Article

9 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

George S DownwardInstitute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), division of Environmental Epidemiology (EEPI), Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Erik J H M van NunenInstitute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), division of Environmental Epidemiology (EEPI), Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Jules KerckhoffsInstitute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), division of Environmental Epidemiology (EEPI), Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Paolo VineisMRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Imperial College London, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK.
Bert BrunekreefInstitute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), division of Environmental Epidemiology (EEPI), Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Jolanda M A BoerNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, Netherlands.
Kyle P MessierDept. of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, University of Texas at Austin, USA.
Ananya RoyEnvironmental Defense Fund, Washington, DC, USA.
W Monique M VerschurenJulius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Yvonne T van der SchouwJulius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Ivonne SluijsJulius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands.
John GulliverMRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Imperial College London, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK.
Gerard HoekInstitute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), division of Environmental Epidemiology (EEPI), Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Roel VermeulenInstitute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), division of Environmental Epidemiology (EEPI), Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Utrecht University · NLUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NLImperial College London · GBEnvironmental Defense Fund · USNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment · NLThe University of Texas at Austin · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is growing evidence that exposure to ultrafine particles (UFP; particles smaller than [Formula: see text]) may play an underexplored role in the etiology of several illnesses, including cardiovascular disease (CVD).

objectivesWe aimed o investigate the relationship between long-term exposure to ambient UFP and incident cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease (CVA). As a secondary objective, we sought to compare effect estimates for UFP with those derived for other air pollutants, including estimates from two-pollutant models.

methodsUsing a prospective cohort of 33,831 Dutch residents, we studied the association between long-term exposure to UFP (predicted via land use regression) and incident disease using Cox proportional hazard models. Hazard ratios (HR) for UFP were compared to HRs for more routinely monitored air pollutants, including particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text]), PM with aerodynamic diameter [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text]), and [Formula: see text].

resultsLong-term UFP exposure was associated with an increased risk for all incident CVD [[Formula: see text] per [Formula: see text]; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03, 1.34], myocardial infarction (MI) ([Formula: see text]; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.79), and heart failure ([Formula: see text]; 95% CI: 1.17, 2.66). Positive associations were also estimated for [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text]; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.48 per [Formula: see text]) and coarse PM ([Formula: see text]; HR for all [Formula: see text]; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.45 per [Formula: see text]). CVD was not positively associated with [Formula: see text] (HR for all [Formula: see text]; 95% CI: 0.75, 1.28 per [Formula: see text]). HRs for UFP and CVAs were positive, but not significant. In two-pollutant models ([Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]), positive associations tended to remain for UFP, while HRs for [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] generally attenuated towards the null.

conclusionsThese findings strengthen the evidence that UFP exposure plays an important role in cardiovascular health and that risks of ambient air pollution may have been underestimated based on conventional air pollution metrics. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP3047.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAir PollutionCardiovascular DiseasesCerebrovascular DisordersEnvironmental ExposureFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsParticle SizeParticulate MatterProspective StudiesParticulate Matter

Identifiers

PMID30566375
PMCPMC6371648
OpenAlexW2903969340

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.