Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30560723›Full record

ArticleAIDS research and human retroviruses2019

Validation of the Limiting Antigen Avidity Assay to Estimate Level and Trends in HIV Incidence in an A/D Epidemic in Rakai, Uganda.

Oliver Laeyendecker, Ronald H Gray, M Kate Grabowski, Steven J Reynolds, Anthony Ndyanabo, Joseph Ssekasanvu, Reinaldo E Fernandez, Maria J Wawer, David Serwadda, Thomas C Quinn

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS research and human retroviruses, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Oliver Laeyendecker1 National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health (NIH) , Baltimore, Maryland.
Ronald H Gray3 Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health , Baltimore, Maryland.
M Kate Grabowski4 Rakai Health Sciences Program , Kalisizo, Uganda .
Steven J Reynolds1 National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health (NIH) , Baltimore, Maryland.
Anthony Ndyanabo4 Rakai Health Sciences Program , Kalisizo, Uganda .
Joseph Ssekasanvu4 Rakai Health Sciences Program , Kalisizo, Uganda .
Reinaldo E Fernandez2 Department of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine , Baltimore, Maryland.
Maria J Wawer3 Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health , Baltimore, Maryland.
David Serwadda4 Rakai Health Sciences Program , Kalisizo, Uganda .
Thomas C Quinn1 National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health (NIH) , Baltimore, Maryland.

Funding

LC: HIV Prevention Trials Network - Laboratory Support for the SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence Study (CoVPN 5002)UM1AI068613 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SUSAN H ESHLEMAN, Mark A Marzinke · 2011 to 2026
$100.2M
Vaccine Response and Immunotherapeutics SWGP30AI094189 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Richard E. Chaisson · 2012 to 2026
$67.0M
International Center for Excellence in Research (ICER) in Uganda: Impact of ARVsZIAAI001040 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI REYNOLDS, STEVEN · 2009 to 2025
$23.5M
International Studies of the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS)ZIAAI000361 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI REDD, ANDREW · 2009 to 2025
$15.8M
Laboratory and Statistical Development of Cross-Sectional HIV Incidence AssaysR01AI095068 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI ESHLEMAN, SUSAN H · 2011 to 2021
$6.6M
CHWs, mHealth, and Combination HIV Prevention in a Hotspot: A Randomized TrialR01MH107275 · NIMH · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, LARRY WILLIAM · 2015 to 2019
$2.7M
HIV Incidence, Transmission Dynamics and Combination HIV Prevention: Rakai UgandaR01AI110324 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2014 to 2016
$2.4M
Penile Microbiome, Inflammation and HIV Susceptibility During Sexual Debut and Maturation Among Male AdolescentsR01AI128779 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI TOBIAN, AARON A · 2017 to 2020
$2.1M
Revealing women's hidden role as critical components of HIV transmission networks in Rakai, Uganda: an interdisciplinary approachK01AI125086 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRABOWSKI, MARY KATHRYN · 2016 to 2020
$638k
NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI125086NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI095068NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI110324NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI128779NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068613NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH107275
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The limiting-antigen avidity (LAg-Avidity) assay with viral load (VL) >1,000 copies/mL is being used to estimate population-level HIV incidence in Africa. However, this has not been validated in East Africa where HIV-1 subtypes A and D circulate. Sera from persons seen in two surveys (2008-2009 and 2012-2013) limited to those who attended the previous round of the Rakai Community Cohort in Uganda were analyzed. The performance of the current LAg-Avidity protocol, with a mean duration of recent infection (MDRI) of 130 days and false recent rate (FRR) of 0%, was compared with subtype-specific MDRI and FRR, adjusted to subtype distributions. The observed incidence was 1.05/100 person years (py) [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.90-1.23] in 2008-2009 and 0.66/100 py (95% CI 0.52-0.83) in 2012-2013. In contrast, the per-protocol LAg-Avidity incidence estimates were 1.63/100 py (95% CI 0.97-2.30) in 2008-2009 and 2.55/100 py (95% CI 1.51-3.59) in 2012-2013 (a significant increase, p < .05.) However, using a subtype-specific MDRI and FRR, the subtype adjusted incidence was 0.88% (95% CI 0.44-1.33) in 2008-2009 and 0.67% (95% CI 0.00-1.68) in 2012-2013, approximating to the observed incidence trends. In this subtype A/D epidemic, the per protocol LAg-Avidity + VL assay overestimated HIV incidence and failed to detect declines in incidence. Adjustment for FRR, MDRI, and subtype distribution provided incidence estimates similar to empirically observed incidence level and trends. Thus, use of the LAg-Avidity assay in an A/D epidemic requires adjustment for subtype.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAntibody AffinityCohort StudiesHIV AntibodiesHIV AntigensHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedSerologic TestsUgandaViral LoadYoung AdultHIV AntibodiesHIV Antigenscross-sectional incidence estimationincidenceUgandavalidation

Identifiers

PMID30560723
PMCPMC6461304

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