Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30545395›Full record

ArticleBreast cancer research : BCR2018

Predicting interval and screen-detected breast cancers from mammographic density defined by different brightness thresholds.

Tuong L Nguyen, Ye K Aung, Shuai Li, Nhut Ho Trinh, Christopher F Evans, Laura Baglietto, Kavitha Krishnan, Gillian S Dite, Jennifer Stone, Dallas R English and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Breast cancer research : BCR, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Tuong L NguyenCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Ye K AungCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Shuai LiCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Nhut Ho TrinhCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Christopher F EvansCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Laura BagliettoCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Kavitha KrishnanCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Gillian S DiteCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Jennifer StoneCurtin UWA Centre for Genetic Origins of Health and Disease, Curtin University and the University of Western Australia, Perth, Western WA, 6009, Australia.
Dallas R EnglishCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Yun-Mi SongDepartment of Family Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Irwon-ro 81, Gangnamgu, Seoul, 06351, South Korea.
Joohon SungDepartment of Epidemiology School of Public Health, Seoul National University, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 151-742, Korea.
Mark A JenkinsCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
Melissa C SoutheyDepartment of Pathology, University of Melbourne, Carlton, Victoria, 3053, Australia.
Graham G GilesCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia.
John L HopperCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Level 3/207 Bouverie Street, Carlton, VIC, 3053, Australia. j.hopper@unimelb.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0002-8567-173X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCase-control studies show that mammographic density is a better risk factor when defined at higher than conventional pixel-brightness thresholds. We asked if this applied to interval and/or screen-detected cancers.

methodWe conducted a nested case-control study within the prospective Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study including 168 women with interval and 422 with screen-detected breast cancers, and 498 and 1197 matched controls, respectively. We measured absolute and percent mammographic density using the Cumulus software at the conventional threshold (Cumulus) and two increasingly higher thresholds (Altocumulus and Cirrocumulus, respectively). Measures were transformed and adjusted for age and body mass index (BMI). Using conditional logistic regression and adjusting for BMI by age at mammogram, we estimated risk discrimination by the odds ratio per adjusted standard deviation (OPERA), calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared nested models using the likelihood ratio criterion and models with the same number of parameters using the difference in Bayesian information criterion (ΔBIC).

resultsFor interval cancer, there was very strong evidence that the association was best predicted by Cumulus as a percentage (OPERA = 2.33 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.85-2.92); all ΔBIC > 14), and the association with BMI was independent of age at mammogram. After adjusting for percent Cumulus, no other measure was associated with risk (all P > 0.1). For screen-detected cancer, however, the associations were strongest for the absolute and percent Cirrocumulus measures (all ΔBIC > 6), and after adjusting for Cirrocumulus, no other measure was associated with risk (all P > 0.07).

conclusionThe amount of brighter areas is the best mammogram-based measure of screen-detected breast cancer risk, while the percentage of the breast covered by white or bright areas is the best mammogram-based measure of interval breast cancer risk, irrespective of BMI. Therefore, there are different features of mammographic images that give clinically important information about different outcomes.

Indexed as

Breast DensityAgedBreastBreast NeoplasmsCase-Control StudiesEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansImage Processing, Computer-AssistedMammographyMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSoftwareAustralian womenBreast cancerInterval cancerMammographic densityMammographyMasking effectNested case–control cohort studyScreen-detected

Identifiers

PMID30545395
PMCPMC6293866

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.