Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30544184›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2019

Changing Landscape of Liver Cancer in California: A Glimpse Into the Future of Liver Cancer in the United States.

Summer S Han, Scott P Kelly, Yuqing Li, Baiyu Yang, Mindie Nguyen, Samuel So, Philip S Rosenberg, Ann W Hsing

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Asian American/Pacific Islander and Hispanic Ethnic Enclaves, Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status, and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence in California: An Update.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
    Article
  7. Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence, Stage, and Survival: A Large Population-Based Study.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2021
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence in California: An Update.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Summer S HanStanford Cancer Institute.
Scott P KellyDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Yuqing LiStanford Cancer Institute.
Baiyu YangStanford Cancer Institute.
Mindie NguyenStanford Cancer Institute.
Samuel SoStanford Cancer Institute.
Philip S RosenbergDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Ann W HsingStanford Cancer Institute.
Cancer Institute (WIA) · INStanford University · USCancer Prevention Institute of California · USDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and GeneticsNational Cancer Institute · USStanford Cancer Institute

Funding

Translational Oncology Research Program (Project-005)P30CA124435 · NCI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Melinda L. Telli · 2007 to 2026
$71.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA124435
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAsians and Hispanics currently have the highest incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the United States. The numbers of these minority populations are rapidly increasing, reshaping the demographic in the United States and particularly California, where approximately one-third of US Asians and Hispanics reside. With the changing demographic and rising incidence of HCC that has tripled during the past three decades, it is important to forecast the future burden of HCC by age, sex, and race/ethnicity to plan prevention and control strategies for HCC.

methodsWe used four Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program registries to obtain incidence data for California during 2000 to 2013, and 14 registries to represent non-California states. We applied age-period-cohort models to estimate future HCC incidence rates, and estimated HCC burden by multiplying incidence forecasts by corresponding US Census population projections.

resultsOur forecasts for California suggest that in 2030 Hispanics and blacks will have the highest HCC incidence rates and Asians the lowest. While incidence among whites, blacks, and Hispanics in California increased successively for each birth year cohort from 1915 through 1955, incidence among Asians in California decreased for each successive birth year cohort from 1915 through 1975. In contrast, consistent declines were not seen among Asians in the rest of the United States. In California, the estimated burden of HCC is 6482 new cases in 2030, where 80.0% of these patients are older than 65 years (vs 44.5% in 2014). The relative increase of burden in 2030 vs 2014 for this 65 years and older age group is especially high among Hispanics (318.3%), whereas it is the lowest among Asians (53.2%) in California.

conclusionsPrevention efforts in California should target persons currently ages 50 to 64 years who will make up the older age group (>65 years) in 2030, especially among Hispanics with the most rapid increase of HCC burden through 2030.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAsian PeopleBlack or African AmericanBlack PeopleCaliforniaFemaleForecastingHispanic or LatinoHumansIncidenceLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalRegistries

Identifiers

PMID30544184
PMCPMC7962782
OpenAlexW2903756935

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.