Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30544164›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2019

What Is the Value of Different Zika Vaccination Strategies to Prevent and Mitigate Zika Outbreaks?

Sarah M Bartsch, Lindsey Asti, Sarah N Cox, David P Durham, Samuel Randall, Peter J Hotez, Alison P Galvani, Bruce Y Lee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Sarah M BartschGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) and Public Health Professional and Operations Research (PHICOR), Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Lindsey AstiGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) and Public Health Professional and Operations Research (PHICOR), Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Sarah N CoxGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) and Public Health Professional and Operations Research (PHICOR), Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
David P DurhamCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.
Samuel RandallGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) and Public Health Professional and Operations Research (PHICOR), Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Peter J HotezNational School of Tropical Medicine, and Departments of Pediatrics and Molecular Virology & Microbiology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Alison P GalvaniCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.
Bruce Y LeeGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC) and Public Health Professional and Operations Research (PHICOR), Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.

Funding

MULTILEVEL SYSTEMS-ORIENTED CHILDHOOD OBESITY STUDY IN CHINAU54HD070725 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CURRIERO, FRANK · 2011 to 2016
$15.9M
Impacts of Individual and Social Behavior on Influenza Dynamics and ControlU01GM087719 · NIGMS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P, MEYERS, LAUREN ANCEL · 2009 to 2018
$6.3M
Virtual Population Obesity Prevention (VPOP) Labs: Computational, Multi-Scale Models for Obesity SolutionsU01HD086861 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, BRUCE Y · 2015 to 2019
$2.8M
Evaluating the social influences that impact vaccination decisionsU01GM105627 · NIGMS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P · 2013 to 2017
$1.6M
AHRQ HHS R01 HS023317NICHD NIH HHS U01 HD086861NICHD NIH HHS U54 HD070725NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM087719NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM105627
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile the 2015-2016 Zika epidemics prompted accelerated vaccine development, decision makers need to know the potential economic value of vaccination strategies.

methodsWe developed models of Honduras, Brazil, and Puerto Rico, simulated targeting different populations for Zika vaccination (women of childbearing age, school-aged children, young adults, and everyone) and then introduced various Zika outbreaks. Sensitivity analyses varied vaccine characteristics.

resultsWith a 2% attack rate ($5 vaccination), compared to no vaccination, vaccinating women of childbearing age cost $314-$1664 per case averted ($790-$4221/disability-adjusted life-year [DALY] averted) in Honduras, and saved $847-$1644/case averted in Brazil, and $3648-$4177/case averted in Puerto Rico, varying with vaccination coverage and efficacy (societal perspective). Vaccinating school-aged children cost $718-$1849/case averted (≤$5002/DALY averted) in Honduras, saved $819-$1609/case averted in Brazil, and saved $3823-$4360/case averted in Puerto Rico. Vaccinating young adults cost $310-$1666/case averted ($731-$4017/DALY averted) in Honduras, saved $953-$1703/case averted in Brazil, and saved $3857-$4372/case averted in Puerto Rico. Vaccinating everyone averted more cases but cost more, decreasing cost savings per case averted. Vaccination resulted in more cost savings and better outcomes at higher attack rates.

conclusionsWhen considering transmission, while vaccinating everyone naturally averted the most cases, specifically targeting women of childbearing age or young adults was the most cost-effective.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisModels, EconomicAdolescentAdultBrazilChildDisease OutbreaksFemaleHealth Care CostsHealth PolicyHondurasHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalPuerto RicoVaccinescost-effectivenessvaccineZika

Identifiers

PMID30544164
PMCPMC6688058

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.