Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30536065›Full record

Observational studyCurrent medical science2018

Establishment of a Predictive Model Related to Pathogen Invasion for Infectious Diseases and Its Diagnostic Value in Fever of Unknown Origin.

Zhu-Hua Wu, Ming-You Xing, Sheng Wei, Man-Zhi Zhao, Wen-Xia Wang, Lin Zhu, Ji-Ling Zhu, Cai-Feng Zheng, Si-Jun Wang, Jun-Ying Qi and 1 more

Abstract readObservational Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Observational study in Current medical science, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Iatrogenic fever of unknown origin.Internal and emergency medicine · 2025
    Article
  4. Differential diagnosis of lymphoma withJournal of cancer research and clinical oncology · 2023
    Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Zhu-Hua WuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Ming-You XingDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Sheng WeiDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Man-Zhi ZhaoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Wen-Xia WangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Lin ZhuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Ji-Ling ZhuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Cai-Feng ZhengDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Si-Jun WangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Jun-Ying QiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Jian-Xin SongDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China. songsingsjx@sina.com.
Tongji Hospital · CNHuazhong University of Science and Technology · CNXinxiang Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The present study aimed to establish a list of parameters indicative of pathogen invasion and develop a predictive model to distinguish the etiologies of fever of unknown origin (FUO) into infectious and non-infectious causes. From January 2014 to September 2017, 431 patients with FUO were prospectively enrolled in the study population. This study established a list of 26 variables from the following 4 aspects: host factors, epidemiological factors, behavioral factors, and iatrogenic factors. Predefined predicted variables were included in a multivariate logistic regression analysis to develop a predictive model. The predictive model and the corresponding scoring system were developed using data from the confirmed diagnoses and 9 variables were eventually identified. These factors were incorporated into the predictive model. This model discriminated between infectious and non-infectious causes of FUO with an AUC of 0.72, sensitivity of 0.71, and specificity of 0.63. The predictive model and corresponding scoring system based on factors concerning pathogen invasion appear to be reliable screening tools to discriminate between infectious and non-infectious causes of FUO.

Indexed as

Communicable DiseasesFemaleFever of Unknown OriginHumansMiddle AgedProspective StudiesSensitivity and Specificityempiric therapyetiologyfever of unknown originpredictive model

Identifiers

PMID30536065
OpenAlexW2903892289

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.