ArticleBulletin of mathematical biology2019
The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic.
Article in Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Duration of transients in outbreaks: when can infectiousness be estimated?Journal of mathematical biology · 2024Article
- Evaluating vaccination timing, hesitancy and effectiveness to prevent future outbreaks: insights from COVID-19 modelling and transmission dynamics.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Modelling the unexpected dynamics of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- Memory effects in disease modelling through kernel estimates with oscillatory time history.Journal of mathematical biology · 2024Article
- Epidemic modeling with heterogeneity and social diffusion.Journal of mathematical biology · 2023Article
- COVID-19 Modeling Outcome versus Reality in Sweden.Viruses · 2022Article
- Effect of Human Mobility on the Spatial Spread of Airborne Diseases: An Epidemic Model with Indirect Transmission.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2022Article
- The mathematics of multiple lockdowns.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- The Effect of Face Mask Use on COVID-19 Models.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- A primer on using mathematics to understand COVID-19 dynamics: Modeling, analysis and simulations.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2021Article
- Could masks curtail the post-lockdown resurgence of COVID-19 in the US?Mathematical biosciences · 2020Article
- Estimation of exponential growth rate and basic reproduction number of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Africa.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2020Article
- Mathematical assessment of the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on curtailing the 2019 novel Coronavirus.Mathematical biosciences · 2020Article
- Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an example.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In an epidemic of a serious disease, there is likely to be behavioral response that decreases the epidemic size considerably, and taking this into account may lead to estimates of the final epidemic size that are much smaller and more realistic than estimates that do not take this into account.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.