ArticleContemporary clinical trials communications2018
Interactive calculator for operating characteristics of phase I cancer clinical trials using standard 3+3 designs.
Article in Contemporary clinical trials communications, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Among various Phase I clinical trial designs, rule-based standard 3 + 3 designs are the most widely utilized for their simplicity and robustness. It is necessary to define crucial operating characteristics of a Phase I clinical trial before it starts. Based on the assumed probability of dose limiting toxicity (DLT) at each tested dose level, Lin and Shih elaborated formulas to calculate the five key operating characteristics of Phase I clinical trials using the two subtypes of standard 3 + 3 designs (with vs without dose de-escalation): probability of each dose level being chosen as the maximum tolerated dose (MTD); expected number of patients treated at each dose level; expected number of patients experiencing DLT at each dose level; target toxicity level (TTL) (expected probability of DLT at MTD); expected total number of patients experiencing DLT. Understanding these formulas requires advanced statistical knowledge and the formulas are too complicated to be used directly. To facilitate their application, we have developed stand-alone interactive software for convenient calculation of these key operating characteristics. The calculated results are presented in tables and plots that can be saved and easily edited for further use. Some examples of calculation using the software are presented and discussed.
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