Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30522451›Full record

ArticleBMC neurology2018

Mortality & recurrent seizure risk after new-onset seizure in HIV-positive Zambian adults.

Melissa A Elafros, Brent A Johnson, Omar K Siddiqi, Jason F Okulicz, Izukanji Sikazwe, Christopher M Bositis, Michael J Potchen, Igor J Koralnik, William H Theodore, Lisa Kalungwana and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC neurology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 33% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 10 institutions in 2 countries.

Melissa A ElafrosDepartment of Neurology, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Sheik Zayed Tower, Room 6005, 1800 Orleans Street, Baltimore, MD, 21287, USA. melafro1@jhmi.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4511-201X
Brent A JohnsonDepartment of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, University of Rochester, 265 Crittenden Boulevard, CU 420-630, Rochester, NY, 14642-0630, USA.
Omar K SiddiqiGlobal Neurology Program, Division of Neuroimmunology, Department of Neurology, E/CLS 1017B Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, 330 Brookline Avenue, Boston, MA, 02215, USA.
Jason F OkuliczInfectious Disease Service, Brooke Army Medical Center, 3851 Roger Brooke Dr., Fort Sam Houston, San Antonio, TX, 78234, USA.
Izukanji SikazweCenter for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, 5032 Great North Road, P.O. Box 34681, Lusaka, Zambia.
Christopher M BositisGreater Lawrence Family Health Center, 34 Haverhill St, Lawrence, MA, 01841, USA.
Michael J PotchenNeuroradiology Division, Department of Imaging Sciences, University of Rochester Medical Center, 601 Elmwood Ave, Box 648, Rochester, NY, 14642, USA.
Igor J KoralnikDepartment of Neurological Sciences, Rush University Medical Center, 1725 W. Harrison Street, Suite 1106, Chicago, IL, 60612, USA.
William H TheodoreClinical Epilepsy Section, National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, NINDS NIH Building 10 Room 7D-43, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
Lisa KalungwanaDepartment of Psychology, University of Zambia, P.O. BOX 32379, 10101, Lusaka, Zambia.
Gretchen L BirbeckEpilepsy Division, Department of Neurology, University of Rochester School of Medicine & Dentistry, 265 Crittenden Blvd, CU420694, Rochester, NY, 14642-0694, USA.
University of Rochester · USBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USBrooke Army Medical Center · USCentre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia · ZMGreater Lawrence Family Health Center · USJohns Hopkins Hospital · USNational Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke · USRush University Medical Center · USUniversity of Rochester Medical Center · USUniversity of Zambia · ZM

Funding

Physiologic And Pharmacologic Studies In EpilepsyZIANS002236 · NINDS · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF NEUROLOGICAL DISORDERS AND STROKE · PI THEODORE, WILLIAM · 2009 to 2020
$14.2M
Cohort of HIV-Associated Seizures and Epilepsy in Zambia (CHASE): Scale up and expansion informed by R21 FindingsR01NS094037 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI BIRBECK, GRETCHEN L., SIKAZWE, IZUKANJI · 2015 to 2019
$3.0M
A Cohort Study of Seizures and Epilepsy in HIV+ Zambian AdultsR21NS073509 · NINDS · MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY · PI BIRBECK, GRETCHEN L. · 2011 to 2012
$245k
NIH HHS 1R21NS073509, R01NS094037NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS094037NINDS NIH HHS R21 NS073509
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecurrent seizure risks in HIV-positive people with new-onset seizure are largely unknown, making it challenging to offer optimal recommendations regarding antiepileptic drug (AED) initiation. Existing outcomes data is limited, and risk factor identification requires a diagnostic assessment, which is often unavailable in regions heavily effected by HIV, like sub-Saharan Africa.

methodsHIV-positive Zambian adults with new-onset seizure were enrolled in a prospective cohort study to determine seizure recurrence and risk factors for recurrence. Seizure etiology was evaluated, and recurrent seizures and medication usage were assessed during clinic visits. Due to unexpectedly high mortality rates, predictors of death were evaluated using proportional hazards with Gray's test to compare cumulative incidence functions for recurrent seizure across groups adjusting for the competing outcome of death.

results95 patients were enrolled (mean age 37 years, 43% female, 83% with Karnofsky > 50) and followed for a mean of 293 days (median 241 (IQR: 29-532)). At presentation, 50 (53%) were in status epilepticus. The majority (91, 85%) had advanced HIV disease and 65 (68%) were not on combined antiretroviral therapy (cART). After extensive workup, seizure etiology remained unknown in 16 (17%). Average time to cART initiation after enrollment was 61 days. During follow up, 37 (39%) died and 23 (24%) had recurrent seizure. Most deaths (25/37, 68%) occurred in the first 60 days post-index seizure. Individuals with advanced HIV were more likely to die (HR: 19.1 [95% CI: 1.1-333.4]) as were those whose seizure etiology remained unknown (HR: 2.2 [95% CI: 1.1-4.4]). Among participants that survived from enrolment to the end of data collection on 10 May 2013 (n = 58), 20 (34%) experienced recurrent seizures.

conclusionsNew-onset seizure among HIV-positive Zambian adults is associated with high mortality despite good functional status prior to presentation. Advanced HIV infection and failure to identify an underlying seizure etiology are associated with greater mortality. Recurrent seizures occur in over a third of survivors within only 2 years of follow-up. This provides evidence to support AED initiation after first seizure in HIV-positive individuals with advanced HIV disease at the time of presentation though the risks of AED-cART interactions remain a concern and warrant further study.

Indexed as

AdultAnticonvulsantsFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRecurrenceRisk FactorsSeizuresYoung AdultZambiaAnticonvulsants

Identifiers

PMID30522451
PMCPMC6284303
OpenAlexW2903979111

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.