Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30521125›Full record

ArticleJournal of internal medicine2019

Development and validation of a haematuria cancer risk score to identify patients at risk of harbouring cancer.

W S Tan, A Ahmad, A Feber, H Mostafid, J Cresswell, C D Fankhauser, S Waisbrod, T Hermanns, P Sasieni, J D Kelly and 1 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of internal medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02676180 (A Prospective Observational Study to Determine the Negative Predictive Value of UroMark to Rule Out the Presence of Bladder Cancer in Patients With Haematuria.), which is not on this map. Cited by 13 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02676180 completednot on this map

A Prospective Observational Study to Determine the Negative Predictive Value of UroMark to Rule Out the Presence of Bladder Cancer in Patients With Haematuria.

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorUniversity College, LondonRan2016 to 2017Enrolled3,700ConditionsBladder CancerArmsGroup
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Risk prediction models for symptomatic patients with bladder and kidney cancer: a systematic review.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2022
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  12. Evaluation of Hematuria in a Large Public Health Care System.Bladder cancer (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2019
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

W S TanDivision of Surgery & Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6119-4043
A AhmadCancer Intelligence, Cancer Research UK, London, UK.
A FeberDivision of Surgery & Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK.
H MostafidDepartment of Urology, Royal Surrey County Hospital, Guildford, UK.
J CresswellDepartment of Urology, James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK.
C D FankhauserDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Zurich, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
S WaisbrodDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Zurich, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
T HermannsDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Zurich, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
P SasieniFaculty of Life Sciences & Medicine, School of Cancer & Pharmaceutical Sciences, Innovation Hub, Guys Cancer Centre, Guys Hospital, King's College London, London, UK.
J D KellyDivision of Surgery & Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK.
DETECT I trial collaborators

Funding

Cancer Research UK 16892Cancer Research UK 27047Medical Research Council MR/M025411/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA lack of consensus exists amongst national guidelines regarding who should be investigated for haematuria. Type of haematuria and age-specific thresholds are frequently used to guide referral for the investigation of haematuria.

objectivesTo develop and externally validate the haematuria cancer risk score (HCRS) to improve patient selection for the investigation of haematuria.

methodsDevelopment cohort comprise of 3539 prospectively recruited patients recruited at 40 UK hospitals (DETECT 1; ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02676180) and validation cohort comprise of 656 Swiss patients. All patients were aged >18 years and referred to hospital for the evaluation of visible and nonvisible haematuria. Sensitivity and specificity of the HCRS in the validation cohort were derived from a cut-off identified from the discovery cohort.

resultsPatient age, gender, type of haematuria and smoking history were used to develop the HCRS. HCRS validation achieves good discrimination (AUC 0.835; 95% CI: 0.789-0.880) and calibration (calibration slope = 1.215) with no significant overfitting (P = 0.151). The HCRS detected 11.4% (n = 8) more cancers which would be missed by UK National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence guidelines. The American Urological Association guidelines would identify all cancers with a specificity of 12.6% compared to 30.5% achieved by the HCRS. All patients with upper tract cancers would have been identified.

conclusionThe HCRS offers good discriminatory accuracy which is superior to existing guidelines. The simplicity of the model would facilitate adoption and improve patient and physician decision-making.

Indexed as

Risk AssessmentAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHematuriaHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsRisk FactorsSensitivity and SpecificitySmokingUrinary Bladder Neoplasmsbladder cancerdetectionhaematurianomogrampredicturinary tract cancer

Identifiers

PMID30521125
PMCPMC6446724

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.