Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30518765›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Spatial analysis of the geographical distribution of thyroid cancer cases from the first-round thyroid ultrasound examination in Fukushima Prefecture.

Tomoki Nakaya, Kunihiko Takahashi, Hideto Takahashi, Seiji Yasumura, Tetsuya Ohira, Hitoshi Ohto, Akira Ohtsuru, Sanae Midorikawa, Shinichi Suzuki, Hiroki Shimura and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Tomoki NakayaGraduate School of Environmental Studies, Tohoku University, Aoba-ku, Sendai-city, Miyagi, 980-0845, Japan. tomoki.nakaya.c8@tohoku.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3827-1012
Kunihiko TakahashiDepartment of Biostatistics, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Showa-ku, Nagoya-city, Aichi, 466-8550, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2387-7772
Hideto TakahashiNational Institute of Public Health, Wako-city, Saitama, 351-0197, Japan.
Seiji YasumuraRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Tetsuya OhiraRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Hitoshi OhtoRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Akira OhtsuruRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Sanae MidorikawaRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Shinichi SuzukiDepartment of Thyroid and Endocrinology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Hiroki ShimuraRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Shunichi YamashitaRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Koichi TanigawaRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Kenji KamiyaRadiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan.
Fukushima Medical University · JPHiroshima University · JPNagoya University · JPNational Institute of Public Health · JPTohoku University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Following the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FNPP) accident on 11 March 2011, there have been concerns regarding the health impacts of the ensuing radioactive environmental contamination, which was spatially heterogeneous. This study aimed to assess the geographical variability of thyroid cancer prevalence among children and adolescents in Fukushima Prefecture. We computed the sex- and age-standardised prevalence ratio using 115 diagnosed or suspected thyroid cancer cases among approximately 300,000 examinees at the first-round ultrasound examination during 2011-2015 from 59 municipalities in the prefecture, under the Fukushima Health Management Survey. We applied flexibly shaped spatial scan statistics and the maximised excess events test on the dataset to detect locally anomalous high-prevalence regions. We also conducted Poisson regression with selected regional indicators. Furthermore, approximately 200 examinees showed positive ultrasound examination results but did not undergo confirmatory testing; thus, we employed simulation-based sensitivity tests to evaluate the possible effect of such undiagnosed cases in the statistical analysis. In conclusion, this study found no significant spatial anomalies/clusters or geographic trends of thyroid cancer prevalence among the ultrasound examinees, indicating that the thyroid cancer cases detected are unlikely to be attributable to regional factors, including radiation exposure resulting from the FNPP accident.

Indexed as

Fukushima Nuclear AccidentAdolescentChildCluster AnalysisFemaleHumansJapanMaleNeoplasms, Radiation-InducedPrevalenceSpatial AnalysisThyroid GlandThyroid NeoplasmsUltrasonography

Identifiers

PMID30518765
PMCPMC6281575
OpenAlexW2902152234

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.