Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30513105›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Biomarkers of erosive arthritis in systemic lupus erythematosus: Application of machine learning models.

Fulvia Ceccarelli, Marco Sciandrone, Carlo Perricone, Giulio Galvan, Enrica Cipriano, Alessandro Galligari, Tommaso Levato, Tania Colasanti, Laura Massaro, Francesco Natalucci and 4 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
4.9field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Application of Machine Learning Models in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.International journal of molecular sciences · 2023
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Machine Learning in Rheumatic Diseases.Clinical reviews in allergy & immunology · 2021
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Fulvia CeccarelliLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5026-8783
Marco SciandroneDipartimento di Ingegneria dell'Informazione, Università di Firenze, Florence, Italy.
Carlo PerriconeLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Giulio GalvanDipartimento di Ingegneria dell'Informazione, Università di Firenze, Florence, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0384-0334
Enrica CiprianoLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Alessandro GalligariDipartimento di Ingegneria dell'Informazione, Università di Firenze, Florence, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8599-642X
Tommaso LevatoDipartimento di Ingegneria dell'Informazione, Università di Firenze, Florence, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-4616-8277
Tania ColasantiLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Laura MassaroLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Francesco NatalucciLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Francesca Romana SpinelliLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Cristiano AlessandriLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Guido ValesiniLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Fabrizio ContiLupus Clinic, Rheumatology, Dipartimento di Medicina Interna e Specialità Mediche, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy.
Sapienza University of Rome · ITUniversity of Florence · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveLimited evidences are available on biomarkers to recognize Systemic Lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients at risk to develop erosive arthritis. Anti-citrullinated peptide antibodies (ACPA) have been widely investigated and identified in up to 50% of X-ray detected erosive arthritis; conversely, few studies evaluated anti-carbamylated proteins antibodies (anti-CarP). Here, we considered the application of machine learning models to identify relevant factors in the development of ultrasonography (US)-detected erosive damage in a large cohort of SLE patients with joint involvement.

methodsWe enrolled consecutive SLE patients with arthritis/arthralgia. All patients underwent joint (DAS28, STR) and laboratory assessment (detection of ACPA, anti-CarP, Rheumatoid Factor, SLE-related antibodies). The bone surfaces of metacarpophalangeal and proximal interphalangeal joints were assessed by US: the presence of erosions was registered with a dichotomous value (0/1), obtaining a total score (0-20). Concerning machine learning techniques, we applied and compared Logistic Regression and Decision Trees in conjunction with the feature selection Forward Wrapper method.

resultsWe enrolled 120 SLE patients [M/F 8/112, median age 47.0 years (IQR 15.0); median disease duration 120.0 months (IQR 156.0)], 73.3% of them referring at least one episode of arthritis. Erosive damage was identified in 25.8% of patients (mean±SD 0.7±1.6), all of them with clinically evident arthritis. We applied Logistic Regression in conjunction with the Forward Wrapper method, obtaining an AUC value of 0.806±0.02. As a result of the learning procedure, we evaluated the relevance of the different factors: this value was higher than 35% for ACPA and anti-CarP.

conclusionThe application of Machine Learning Models allowed to identify factors associated with US-detected erosive bone damage in a large SLE cohort and their relevance in determining this phenotype. Although the scope of this study is limited by the small sample size and its cross-sectional nature, the results suggest the relevance of ACPA and anti-CarP antibodies in the development of erosive damage as also pointed out in other studies.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAdultAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesArthritisAutoantibodiesBiomarkersCohort StudiesCross-Sectional StudiesDecision TreesFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsLupus Erythematosus, SystemicMaleMiddle AgedProtein CarbamylationAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesAutoantibodiesBiomarkersRheumatoid Factor

Identifiers

PMID30513105
PMCPMC6279013
OpenAlexW2902044012

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.