Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30508327›Full record

ArticleClinical and experimental allergy : journal of the British Society for Allergy and Clinical Immunology2019

Are environmental risk factors for current wheeze in the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) phase three due to reverse causation?

Richard J Silverwood, Charlotte E Rutter, Edwin A Mitchell, M Innes Asher, Luis Garcia-Marcos, David P Strachan, Neil Pearce, ISAAC Phase Three Study Group

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical and experimental allergy : journal of the British Society for Allergy and Clinical Immunology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Environmental risk factors for allergic rhinitis differ by income level: A Global Asthma Network survey.Pediatric allergy and immunology : official publication of the European Society of Pediatric Allergy and Immunology · 2026
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  9. Asthma occurrence in children and early life systemic antibiotic use: an incidence density study.Allergy, asthma, and clinical immunology : official journal of the Canadian Society of Allergy and Clinical Immunology · 2023
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  19. Are environmental risk factors for current wheeze in the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) phase three due to reverse causation?Clinical and experimental allergy : journal of the British Society for Allergy and Clinical Immunology · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Richard J SilverwoodDepartment of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2744-1194
Charlotte E RutterDepartment of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9823-7932
Edwin A MitchellDepartment of Paediatrics: Child and Youth Health, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0001-6187-7648
M Innes AsherDepartment of Paediatrics: Child and Youth Health, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0003-1768-3832
Luis Garcia-MarcosPediatric Allergy and Pulmonology Units, 'Virgen de la Arrixaca' University Children's Hospital, University of Murcia and IMIB Bioresearch Institute, Murcia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-0925-3851
David P StrachanPopulation Health Research Institute, St George's University of London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7854-1366
Neil PearceDepartment of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9938-7852
ISAAC Phase Three Study Group
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBUniversity of Auckland · NZInstituto Murciano de Investigación Biosanitaria · ESSt George's, University of London · GBUniversity of London · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/N013638/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 097834/Z/11/B
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPhase Three of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) measured the global prevalence of symptoms of asthma in children. We undertook comprehensive analyses addressing risk factors for asthma symptoms in combination, at both the individual and the school level, to explore the potential role of reverse causation due to selective avoidance or confounding by indication.

objectiveTo explore the role of reverse causation in risk factors of asthma symptoms.

methodsWe compared two sets of multilevel logistic regression analyses, using (a) individual level exposure data and (b) school level average exposure (ie prevalence), in two different age groups. In individual level analyses, reverse causation is a possible concern if individual level exposure statuses were changed as a result of asthma symptoms or diagnosis. School level analyses may suffer from ecologic confounding, but reverse causation is less of a concern because individual changes in exposure status as a result of asthma symptoms would only have a small effect on overall school exposure levels.

resultsThere were 131 924 children aged 6-7 years (2428 schools, 25 countries) with complete exposure, outcome and confounder data. The strongest associations in individual level analyses (fully adjusted) were for current paracetamol use (odds ratio = 2.06; 95% confidence interval 1.97-2.16), early life antibiotic use (1.65; 1.58-1.73) and open fire cooking (1.44; 1.26-1.65). In school level analyses, these risk factors again showed increased risks. There were 238 586 adolescents aged 13-14 years (2072 schools, 42 countries) with complete exposure, outcome and confounder data. The strongest associations in individual level analyses (fully adjusted) were for current paracetamol use (1.80; 1.75-1.86), cooking on an open fire (1.32; 1.22-1.43) and maternal tobacco use (1.23; 1.18-1.27). In school level analyses, these risk factors again showed increased risks. CONCLUSIONS & CLINICAL RELEVANCE: These analyses strengthen the potentially causal interpretation of previously reported individual level findings, by providing evidence against reverse causation.

Indexed as

AdolescentAsthmaChildCross-Sectional StudiesDisease SusceptibilityEnvironmental ExposureFemaleHumansMalePrevalencePublic Health SurveillanceRespiratory SoundsRisk FactorsSurveys and Questionnairesasthmaenvironment and hygiene hypothesisepidemiology

Identifiers

PMID30508327
PMCPMC6487816
OpenAlexW2902915599

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.