Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30458798›Full record

ArticleBiomedical engineering online2018

Machine learning approaches for predicting high cost high need patient expenditures in health care.

Chengliang Yang, Chris Delcher, Elizabeth Shenkman, Sanjay Ranka

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biomedical engineering online, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 98 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
98citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

98 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. Novel Insights into the Pathogenic Role of CSF1R in Endometriosis.Reproductive sciences (Thousand Oaks, Calif.) · 2026
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38 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Chengliang YangDepartment of Computer & Information Science & Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA. ximen14@ufl.edu.
Chris DelcherDepartment of Health Outcomes & Biomedical Informatics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Elizabeth ShenkmanDepartment of Health Outcomes & Biomedical Informatics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Sanjay RankaDepartment of Computer & Information Science & Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.

Funding

University of Florida Older Americans Independence Center (OAIC)P30AG028740 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI CHRISTIAAN LEEUWENBURGH · 2007 to 2026
$22.8M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG028740
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis paper studies the temporal consistency of health care expenditures in a large state Medicaid program. Predictive machine learning models were used to forecast the expenditures, especially for the high-cost, high-need (HCHN) patients.

resultsWe systematically tests temporal correlation of patient-level health care expenditures in both the short and long terms. The results suggest that medical expenditures are significantly correlated over multiple periods. Our work demonstrates a prevalent and strong temporal correlation and shows promise for predicting future health care expenditures using machine learning. Temporal correlation is stronger in HCHN patients and their expenditures can be better predicted. Including more past periods is beneficial for better predictive performance.

conclusionsThis study shows that there is significant temporal correlation in health care expenditures. Machine learning models can help to accurately forecast the expenditures. These results could advance the field toward precise preventive care to lower overall health care costs and deliver care more efficiently.

Indexed as

Health Care CostsHealth ExpendituresMachine LearningAdolescentAdultAgedAlgorithmsChronic DiseaseData CollectionEconomics, MedicalFemaleHealth Services ResearchHumansMaleMedicaidMiddle AgedHigh-costHigh need patientsMachine learningPredictive modeling

Identifiers

PMID30458798
PMCPMC6245495

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.