Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30457486›Full record

ArticleRadiology2019

A Decision Analysis of Follow-up and Treatment Algorithms for Nonsolid Pulmonary Nodules.

Mark M Hammer, Lauren L Palazzo, Andrew L Eckel, Eduardo M Barbosa, Chung Yin Kong

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Radiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A Scoping Review on Calibration Methods for Cancer Simulation Models.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Predicting malignant risk of ground-glass nodules using convolutional neural networks based on dual-time-pointCancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
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  10. Review
  11. Subsolid pulmonary nodules: Controversy and perspective.European journal of radiology open · 2020
    Article
  12. Optimal management of pulmonary ground-glass opacity nodules.Translational lung cancer research · 2019
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Mark M HammerFrom the Department of Radiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Mass (M.M.H.); Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, 101 Merrimac St, 10th Floor, Boston, MA 02114 (L.L.P., A.L.E., C.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pa, (E.M.B.); and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass (C.Y.K.).ORCID 0000-0002-1700-7984
Lauren L PalazzoFrom the Department of Radiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Mass (M.M.H.); Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, 101 Merrimac St, 10th Floor, Boston, MA 02114 (L.L.P., A.L.E., C.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pa, (E.M.B.); and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass (C.Y.K.).
Andrew L EckelFrom the Department of Radiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Mass (M.M.H.); Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, 101 Merrimac St, 10th Floor, Boston, MA 02114 (L.L.P., A.L.E., C.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pa, (E.M.B.); and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass (C.Y.K.).
Eduardo M BarbosaFrom the Department of Radiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Mass (M.M.H.); Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, 101 Merrimac St, 10th Floor, Boston, MA 02114 (L.L.P., A.L.E., C.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pa, (E.M.B.); and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass (C.Y.K.).
Chung Yin KongFrom the Department of Radiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Mass (M.M.H.); Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, 101 Merrimac St, 10th Floor, Boston, MA 02114 (L.L.P., A.L.E., C.Y.K.); Department of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pa, (E.M.B.); and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass (C.Y.K.).ORCID 0000-0001-6431-7830
Brigham and Women's Hospital · US

Funding

Comparative Modeling of Lung Cancer Prevention and Control PoliciesU01CA199284 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI DE KONING, HARRY J, HOLFORD, THEODORE R · 2015 to 2019
$8.4M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199284
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose To evaluate management strategies and treatment options for patients with ground-glass nodules (GGNs) by using decision-analysis models. Materials and Methods A simulation was developed for 1 000 000 hypothetical patients with GGNs undergoing follow-up per the Lung Imaging Reporting and Data System (Lung-RADS) recommendations. The initial age range was 55-75 years (mean, 64 years). Nodules could grow and develop solid components over time. Clinically significant malignancy rates were calibrated to data from the National Lung Screening Trial. Annual versus 3-year-interval follow-up of Lung-RADS category 2 nodules was compared, and different treatment strategies were tested (stereotactic body radiation therapy, surgery, and no therapy). Results Overall, 2.3% (22 584 of 1 000 000) of nodules were clinically significant malignancies; 6.3% (62 559 of 1 000 000) of nodules were treated. Only 30% (18 668 of 62 559) of Lung-RADS category 4B or 4X nodules were clinically significant malignancies. The risk of clinically significant malignancy for persistent nonsolid nodules after baseline was higher than Lung-RADS estimates for categories 2 and 3 (3% vs <1% and 1%-2%, respectively). Overall survival (OS) at 10 years was 72% (527 827 of 737 306; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 71%, 72%) with annual follow-up and 71% (526 507 of 737 306; 95% CI: 71%, 72%) with 3-year-interval follow-up (P < .01). At 10 years, OS among patients whose nodules progressed to Lung-RADS category 4B or 4X was 80% after radiation therapy (49 945 of 62 559; 95% CI: 80%, 80%), 79% after surgery (49 139 of 62 559; 95% CI: 78%, 79%), and 74% after no therapy (46 512 of 62 559; 95% CI: 74%, 75%) (P < .01). Conclusion Simulation modeling suggests that the follow-up interval for evaluating ground-glass nodules can be increased from 1 year to 3 years with minimal change in outcomes. Stereotactic body radiation therapy demonstrated the best outcomes compared with lobectomy and with no therapy for nonsolid nodules. © RSNA, 2018 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsDecision Making, Computer-AssistedLung NeoplasmsMultiple Pulmonary NodulesAgedFemaleHumansLungMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalTomography, X-Ray Computed

Identifiers

PMID30457486
PMCPMC6357948
OpenAlexW2901141828

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.