Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30456071›Full record

ArticleAfrican journal of emergency medicine : Revue africaine de la medecine d'urgence2016

Economic development and road traffic fatalities in two neighbouring African nations.

Douglas J Wiebe, Sunanda Ray, Titus Maswabi, Christina Kgathi, Charles C Branas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in African journal of emergency medicine : Revue africaine de la medecine d'urgence, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Douglas J WiebeDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania, 19104, USA.
Sunanda RayDepartment of Community Medicine, University of Zimbabwe College of Health Sciences and School of Public Health University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa.
Titus MaswabiDepartment of Environmental Health, University of Botswana, Botswana.
Christina KgathiDepartment of Careers and Counseling Services, University of Botswana, Botswana.
Charles C BranasDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania, 19104, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe rapid growth of Botswana's economy since independence in 1966 has brought more tarred roads and vehicles, accompanied by an escalating road crash fatality rate. We tested the hypothesis that motor vehicle crash fatality increases resulted from, rather than just corresponded with, annual gross domestic product (GDP) increases. Data from Zambia, adjacent to Botswana, were used for comparison.

methodsAnnual social and economic indicators and motor vehicle crash fatality rates in Botswana and Zambia were accessed from 1960 to 2012 and analysed using vector autoregressive analysis and Granger causality tests.

resultsIn Botswana, annual changes in per capita GDP predicted annual changes in motor vehicle crash fatality rates (

conclusionRoad crash fatalities increased in recent decades in both Zambia and Botswana. But the rapid economic development in Botswana over this time period appears to have driven proportionate road traffic fatality increases. There are opportunities for newly emerging economies such as Zambia, Angola, and others to learn from the Botswana experience. Evidence-based investments in road safety interventions should be concomitant with economic development.

Indexed as

BotswanaEconomic developmentInjuryMotor vehicle crashZambia

Identifiers

PMID30456071
PMCPMC6233232

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.