Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30455300›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2018

Large changes in biomass burning over the last millennium inferred from paleoatmospheric ethane in polar ice cores.

Melinda R Nicewonger, Murat Aydin, Michael J Prather, Eric S Saltzman

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Atmospheric HNature · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Historical Southern Hemisphere biomass burning variability inferred from ice core carbon monoxide records.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. PreindustrialNature · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Melinda R NicewongerDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-3100; nicewonm@uci.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2624-3831
Murat AydinDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-3100.
Michael J PratherDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-3100.
Eric S SaltzmanDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-3100.ORCID 0000-0003-4364-6023
University of California, Irvine · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Biomass burning drives changes in greenhouse gases, climate-forcing aerosols, and global atmospheric chemistry. There is controversy about the magnitude and timing of changes in biomass burning emissions on millennial time scales from preindustrial to present and about the relative importance of climate change and human activities as the underlying cause. Biomass burning is one of two notable sources of ethane in the preindustrial atmosphere. Here, we present ice core ethane measurements from Antarctica and Greenland that contain information about changes in biomass burning emissions since 1000 CE (Common Era). The biomass burning emissions of ethane during the Medieval Period (1000-1500 CE) were higher than present day and declined sharply to a minimum during the cooler Little Ice Age (1600-1800 CE). Assuming that preindustrial atmospheric reactivity and transport were the same as in the modern atmosphere, we estimate that biomass burning emissions decreased by 30 to 45% from the Medieval Period to the Little Ice Age. The timing and magnitude of this decline in biomass burning emissions is consistent with that inferred from ice core methane stable carbon isotope ratios but inconsistent with histories based on sedimentary charcoal and ice core carbon monoxide measurements. This study demonstrates that biomass burning emissions have exceeded modern levels in the past and may be highly sensitive to changes in climate.

Indexed as

BiomassClimate ChangeEthaneHuman ActivitiesHumansIce CoverModels, TheoreticalTime FactorsEthanebiomass burningethanegeologic hydrocarbonsice coresLittle Ice Age

Identifiers

PMID30455300
PMCPMC6298114
OpenAlexW2900552805

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.