Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30453972›Full record

Trial reportRespiratory research2018

Long-term outcomes following first short-term clinically important deterioration in COPD.

Ian P Naya, Lee Tombs, Hana Muellerova, Christopher Compton, Paul W Jones

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Respiratory research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 32 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00268216 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicentre, Randomised, Double-blind, Parallel Group, Placebo-controlled Study to Investigate the Long-term Effects of Salmeterol/Fluticasone Propionate (Seretide tm) 50/500mcg BD, Salmeterol 50mcg BD and Fluticasone Propionate 500mcg BD, All Delivered Via the Diskus tm/Accuhaler tm Inhaler, on Mortality and Morbidity of Subjects With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Over 3 Years of Treatment

TypeinterventionalSponsorGlaxoSmithKlineRan2000 to 2005Enrolled6,228ConditionsPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveArmsSalmeterol 50mcg/ Fluticasone Propionate 500mcg
NCT00292552 completednot on this map

A Multicentre 3 Year Longitudinal Prospective Study to Identify Novel Endpoints and Compare These With Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 Second (FEV1) for Their Ability to Measure and Predict COPD Severity and Its Progression Over Time

TypeobservationalSponsorGlaxoSmithKlineRan2005 to 2010Enrolled2,747ConditionsPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveArmsNovel endpoint determination
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Predictors of Acute Exacerbations in COPD: A Systematic Review.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Early Clinically Important Improvement (ECII) and Exacerbation Outcomes in COPD Patients.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2020
    Trial
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. Trial
  12. Trial
  13. Fluticasone propionate/formoterol for COPD management: a randomized controlled trial.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2017
    Trial
  14. Trial
  15. Trial
  16. Article
  17. Is Disease Stability an Attainable Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Treatment Goal?American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2025
    Review
  18. Observational
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ian P NayaRespiratory Medicine, GSK, Brentford, Middlesex, UK. ian.p.naya@gsk.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2263-1407
Lee TombsPrecise Approach Ltd, Contingent worker on assignment at GSK, Uxbridge, Middlesex, UK.
Hana MuellerovaRespiratory Medicine, GSK, Brentford, Middlesex, UK.
Christopher ComptonRespiratory Medicine, GSK, Brentford, Middlesex, UK.
Paul W JonesRespiratory Medicine, GSK, Brentford, Middlesex, UK.

Funding

GSK SCO30003 [NCT00268216] and SCO104960 [NCT00292552]
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterized by varying trajectories of decline. Information regarding the prognostic value of preventing short-term clinically important deterioration (CID) in lung function, health status, or first moderate/severe exacerbation as a composite endpoint of worsening is needed. We evaluated post hoc the link between early CID and long-term adverse outcomes.

methodsCID was defined as ≥100 mL decrease in forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV

resultsIn total, 2870 (54%; TORCH) and 1442 (73%; ECLIPSE) patients were CID+. At 36 months, in TORCH, CID+ patients (vs CID-) had sustained clinically significant worsening of FEV

conclusionsA CID within 6-12 months of follow-up was consistently associated with increased long-term risk of exacerbations and all-cause mortality, and predicted sustained meaningful loss in FEV

trial registrationNCT00268216 ; NCT00292552 .

Indexed as

Clinical DeteriorationAgedBronchodilator AgentsDisease ProgressionDouble-Blind MethodFemaleForced Expiratory VolumeHumansMaleMiddle AgedPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRetrospective StudiesSurveys and QuestionnairesTime FactorsTreatment OutcomeBronchodilator AgentsClinically important deteriorationComposite measuresCOPDMortality

Identifiers

PMID30453972
PMCPMC6245880

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.