Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30450407›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia (New York, N. Y.)2018

Age stratification corrects bias in estimated hazard of

Li Liu, Richard J Caselli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia (New York, N. Y.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Multisystem failure, tipping points, and risk of Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Potential Modifying Effect of theInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2023
    Article
  8. GBA and APOE Impact Cognitive Decline in Parkinson's Disease: A 10-Year Population-Based Study.Movement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society · 2022
    Article
  9. Frontiers in neuroscience · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. The Alzheimer's Disease Exposome.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2019
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Alzheimer's & dementia (Amsterdam, Netherlands)
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Li LiuDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Arizona State University, Scottsdale, AZ, USA.
Richard J CaselliDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic Arizona, Scottsdale, AZ, USA.

Funding

Research Education ComponentP30AG019610 · NIA · SUN HEALTH RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GONZALEZ HERNANDEZ, GRACIELA · 2001 to 2020
$32.5M
PET, APOE & the Preclinical Course of Alzheimer's DiseaseR01AG031581 · NIA · BANNER ALZHEIMER'S INSTITUTE · PI CASELLI, RICHARD J., REIMAN, ERIC MICHAEL · 2008 to 2018
$16.6M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG019610NIA NIH HHS R01 AG031581
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe apolipoprotein E (APOE) e4 allele is a major genetic risk factor of late-onset Alzheimer's disease. However, its interaction with two other canonical risk factors, age and sex, is not clear. Previous studies have reported conflicting results on its differential effects in men and women, its association with young-onset AD before the age of 65 years, and its significance in genetic admixture populations. In these studies, the hazard of the e4 allele was assumed to be constant during aging. However, this hypothesis has not been tested and its violation may lead to significant biases and contribute to such discrepant findings.

methodsIn a prospective cohort of 4727 subjects, we performed Cox regression analysis of the association of the e4 allele with AD age of onset. We then performed diagnostics on the resulting model and tested if the hazard of the e4 allele violated the assumption of proportionality during aging. We examined whether incorporating age stratifications and time-dependent coefficients could restore the proportionality. We then validated our findings in four independent cohorts.

resultsHazard of the e4 allele for AD was nonproportional. It took a stepwise decline around the age of 80 years for men and around the age of 75 years for women. By stratifying subjects into a younger group and an older group, we detected more consistent effects of the e4 allele across multiple independent cohorts. We also found that the e4 allele was a significant risk factor for young-onset AD with age of onset before 65 years. DISCUSSION: Age compositions of study cohorts can significantly bias the estimated effect of the APOE genotype. Studies of AD should consider hidden age structures among subjects and routinely employ appropriate age and sex stratification strategies or nonparametric modeling in experimental designs and data analysis. Finally, we argue that the e4 allele is a risk factor not only for late-onset AD but also for young-onset AD.

Indexed as

Age dependencyAlzheimer's diseaseAPOE genotypeDisease riskYoung onset dementia

Identifiers

PMID30450407
PMCPMC6226550

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.