ArticlePLoS currents2018
Estimation of Pneumonic Plague Transmission in Madagascar, August-November 2017.
Article in PLoS currents, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Development of a dual antigen lateral flow immunoassay for detecting Yersinia pestis.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2022Article
- Article
- Deliberate release: Plague - A review.Journal of biosafety and biosecurity · 2020Review
- A Methodology for Determining Which Diseases Warrant Care in a High-Level Containment Care Unit.Viruses · 2019Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
introductionBetween August and November 2017, Madagascar reported nearly 2500 cases of plague; the vast majority of these cases were pneumonic, resulting in early exponential growth due to person-to-person transmission. Though plague is endemic in Madagascar, cases are usually bubonic and thus result in considerably smaller annual caseloads than those observed from August-November 2017.
methodsIn this study, we consider the transmission dynamics of pneumonic plague in Madagascar during this time period, as well as the role of control strategies that were deployed to curb the outbreak and their effectiveness.
resultsWhen using data from the beginning of the outbreak through late November 2017, our estimates for the basic reproduction number range from 1.6 to 3.6, with a mean of 2.4. We also find two distinctive periods of "control", which coincide with critical on-the-ground interventions, including contact tracing and delivery of antibiotics, among others. DISCUSSION: Given these results, we conclude that existing interventions remain effective against plague in Madagascar, despite the atypical size and spread of this particular outbreak.
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