Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30447693›Full record

ArticleLipids in health and disease2018

Risk prediction model of dyslipidaemia over a 5-year period based on the Taiwan MJ health check-up longitudinal database.

Xinghua Yang, Chaonan Xu, Yunfeng Wang, Chunkeng Cao, Qiushan Tao, Siyan Zhan, Feng Sun

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lipids in health and disease, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Xinghua YangSchool of Public Health, Capital Medical University, 10 Xitoutiao, Youanmen, Beijing, 100069, China. xinghuay@sina.com.
Chaonan XuSchool of Public Health, Capital Medical University, 10 Xitoutiao, Youanmen, Beijing, 100069, China.
Yunfeng WangSchool of Public Health, Capital Medical University, 10 Xitoutiao, Youanmen, Beijing, 100069, China.
Chunkeng CaoMJ Health Management Organizations, Taipei, Taiwan.
Qiushan TaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, No. 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, China.
Siyan ZhanDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, No. 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, China.
Feng SunDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, No. 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aimed to provide an epidemiological model to evaluate the risk of developing dyslipidaemia within 5 years in the Taiwanese population.

methodsA cohort of 11,345 subjects aged 35-74 years and was non-dyslipidaemia in the initial year 1996 and followed in 1997-2006 to derive a risk score that could predict the occurrence of dyslipidaemia. Multivariate logistic regression was used to derive the risk functions using the check-up centre of the overall cohort. Rules based on these risk functions were evaluated in the remaining three centres as the testing cohort. We evaluated the predictability of the model using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) to confirm its diagnostic property on the testing sample. We also established the degrees of risk based on the cut-off points of these probabilities after transforming them into a normal distribution by log transformation.

resultsThe incidence of dyslipidaemia over the 5-year period was 19.1%. The final multivariable logistic regression model includes the following six risk factors: gender, history of diabetes, triglyceride level, HDL-C (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol), LDL-C (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol) and BMI (body mass index). The ROC AUC was 0.709 (95% CI: 0.693-0.725), which could predict the development of dyslipidaemia within 5 years.

conclusionThis model can help individuals assess the risk of dyslipidaemia and guide group surveillance in the community.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAdultAgedBody Mass IndexCholesterol, HDLCholesterol, LDLDyslipidemiasFemaleHumansIncidenceLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsROC CurveTaiwanCholesterol, HDLCholesterol, LDLTriglyceridesDyslipidaemiaMJ longitudinal dataRisk predictive model

Identifiers

PMID30447693
PMCPMC6240269

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.