Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30443430›Full record

ArticlePLoS currents2018

Impact of the 2013 Floods on the Incidence of Malaria in Almanagil Locality, Gezira State, Sudan.

Yasir Elfatih Abdelrahim Elsanousi, Abbas Suleiman Elmahi, Irene Pereira, Michel Debacker

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS currents, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Dihydroartemisinin-Piperaquine Chemoprevention and Malaria Incidence After Severe Flooding: Evaluation of a Pragmatic Intervention in Rural Uganda.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Yasir Elfatih Abdelrahim ElsanousiAlsabeel Charitable Health Center (SCHC), Division of Medical & Health Services, Omdurman, Sudan.
Abbas Suleiman ElmahiDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health, Gezira State, Wadmedani, Sudan.
Irene PereiraResearch Group on Emergency and Disaster Medicine, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.
Michel DebackerResearch Group on Emergency and Disaster Medicine, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium. Department of Emergency Medicine, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel, Belgium.
Vrije Universiteit Brussel · BE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHeavy rain hit Sudan in August 2013 with subsequent flash floods in different parts of the country. This study investigated the impact of the flooding on incidence of malaria in Almanagil Locality in central Sudan.

methodsThis observational retrospective study compared malaria data sets during rainfall seasons in the Almanagil Locality in the year of flooding (2013) with those of corresponding rainfall seasons of previous two non-flood years (2011 and 2012).

resultsA marked increase of new malaria cases and incidence rate was observed in the 13 sentinel malaria notification sites in the locality  (IR increased from 6.09 per 100,000 person-days in 2011 [95 % CI: 5.93-6.26] and 6.48 in 2012 [95 % CI: 6.31-6.65] to 8.24 in 2013 [95 % CI: 8.05-8.43] ; P< 0.0001), with a peaking of the incidence rate in the under-5-years age group (IR for this age group jumped from 9.80 per 100,000 person-days in 2011 [95 % CI: 9.29-10.32] and 10.00 in 2012 [95 % CI: 9.52-10.49] to 15.02 in 2013 [95 % CI: 14.41-15.64]). A noticeable increase in the slide positivity rate (P< 0.0001) was observed in the 12-week period of 2013 (SPR = 20.86% [95 % CI: 20.40 -21.32%]) compared with the same periods in 2011 (SPR = 8.72% [95 % CI: 8.36 -9.08%]) and 2012 (SPR = 12.62% [95 % CI: 12.24 -13.01%]), with a more marked rise of the SPR in the under-5-year age group. Hospital data showed increase in both the inpatient and outpatient incidence proportions in the study period of 2013 compared to those of the years 2011 and 2012. Hospital OPD incidence proportion in 2013 was 19.7% (95% CI: 19.24-20.18%) compared to 12.85% (95% CI: 12.48-13.23%) in 2011, and 12.16% (95% CI: 11.82-12.51%) in 2012. The < 5 year old groups were responsible for the overall rise in the proportion of malaria cases in 2013 , particularly the < 1 year old group which more than doubled in the 2013 period compared to both 2011 and 2012 periods (Age-specific proportion of the outpatient malaria cases of the < 1 year old group in 2013 was19.5% [95% CI: 18.5-20.6%]  compared to 7.7% [95% CI: 6.9-8.6%] in 2011 and 8.1% [95% CI: 7.3-8.9%] in 2012. Incidence proportion of severe malaria cases (inpatients) increased to 22.5 % (95 % CI: 21.5 to 23.6 %) in the study period of 2013 compared to 19.8 % (95 % CI: 18.6 to 21.0 %) in 2011 and 18.4 % (95 % CI: 17.4 to 19.5) in 2012. The increase in the proportion of severe malaria cases was mainly due to a higher proportion of children < 5 years of age and especially to a higher proportion of children < 1 year of age.

conclusionThe study revealed a significant increase in the incidence rate of malaria in Almanagil Locality following the flash flood of August 2013. The flooding had the highest impact on the malaria incidence of the under-5-years age group, and particularly of the under-1-year age group.

Indexed as

DisasterFloodFloodingGezira Almanagil.MalariaSudan

Identifiers

PMID30443430
PMCPMC6209411
OpenAlexW2896723125

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.