Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30430426›Full record

ArticleDemography2019

From Some to None? Fertility Expectation Dynamics of Permanently Childless Women.

Alison Gemmill

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Demography, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
15.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 60 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  5. Perceptions of the Future and Pregnancy Avoidance in the U.S.Population research and policy review · 2025
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  10. Changing Employment and Work Schedule Patterns over the 30 Working Years-A Sequential Cluster Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  11. Childbearing Biographies and Midlife Women's Health.Journal of aging and health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

Alison GemmillDepartment of Family, Population & Preventive Medicine, Program in Public Health, Stony Brook University, 101 Nicolls Road, Health Sciences Center, Level 3, Room 071, Stony Brook, NY, 11794-8338, USA. Alison.Gemmill@stonybrookmedicine.edu.
Stony Brook University · US

Funding

INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING IN DEMOGRAPHYT32HD007275 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI FEEHAN, DENNIS MICHAEL · 1985 to 2025
$5.3M
NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007275
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Permanent childlessness is increasingly acknowledged as an outcome of a dynamic, context-dependent process, but few studies have integrated a life course framework to investigate the complex pathways leading to childlessness. This study focuses on an understudied yet revealing dimension of why individuals remain childless: stated fertility expectations over the life course. Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 cohort, I use a combination of sequence analysis, data-driven clustering techniques, and multivariable regression models to identify and describe groups of permanently childless women who follow similar trajectories of stated fertility expectations. Results indicate that a little more than one-half (56 %) of eventually childless women fall into a cluster where childlessness is expected before age 30. Women in the remaining clusters (44 %) transition to expecting childlessness later in the life course but are differentiated by the types of trajectories that precede the emergence of a childless expectation. Results from multivariable regression show that several respondent characteristics, including race/ethnicity, education, and marital history, predict cluster membership. Taken together, these findings add to a growing body of literature that provides a more nuanced description of permanently childless women and motivates further research that integrates interdependencies between life course domains and fertility expectations and decision-making of those who remain childless.

Indexed as

FertilityReproductive BehaviorAdultDecision MakingFemaleHumansInterviews as TopicLongitudinal StudiesQualitative ResearchSurveys and QuestionnairesUnited StatesChildlessnessFertility expectationsLife courseSequence analysis

Identifiers

PMID30430426
PMCPMC6557585
OpenAlexW2901640875

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.