Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30428158›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2019

Influenza epidemics observed in primary care from 1984 to 2017 in France: A decrease in epidemic size over time.

Cécile Souty, Philippe Amoros, Alessandra Falchi, Lisandru Capai, Isabelle Bonmarin, Sylvie van der Werf, Shirley Masse, Clément Turbelin, Louise Rossignol, Ana-Maria Vilcu and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Estimation of influenza-attributable burden in primary care from season 2014/2015 to 2018/2019, France.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2021
    Article
  5. Excess cases of influenza-like illnesses synchronous with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic, France, March 2020.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020
    Article
  6. Baseline characteristics and clinical symptoms related to respiratory viruses identified among patients presenting with influenza-like illness in primary care.Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases · 2019
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Cécile SoutySorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-4990-5201
Philippe AmorosSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Alessandra FalchiEA7310, Laboratoire de Virologie, Université de Corse-Inserm, Corte, France.
Lisandru CapaiSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Isabelle BonmarinDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France.
Sylvie van der WerfInstitut Pasteur, Unité de Génétique Moléculaire des Virus à ARN, Paris, France.
Shirley MasseSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Clément TurbelinSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Louise RossignolSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Ana-Maria VilcuSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Daniel Lévy-BruhlDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France.
Bruno LinaLaboratoire de Virologie, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Institut des Agents Infectieux (IAI), Centre National de Référence des virus respiratoires (dont la grippe), Centre de Biologie et de Pathologie Nord, Groupement Hospitalier Nord, Lyon, France.
Laëtitia MinodierEA7310, Laboratoire de Virologie, Université de Corse-Inserm, Corte, France.
Yves DorléansSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Caroline GuerrisiSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Thomas HanslikSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.
Thierry BlanchonSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP), Paris, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEpidemiological analysis of past influenza epidemics remains essential to understand the evolution of the disease and optimize control and prevention strategies. Here, we aimed to use data collected by a primary care surveillance system over the last three decades to study trends in influenza epidemics and describe epidemic profiles according to circulating influenza viruses.

methodsInfluenza-like illness (ILI) weekly incidences were estimated using cases reported by general practitioners participating in the French Sentinelles network, between 1984 and 2017. Influenza epidemics were detected by applying a periodic regression to this time series. Epidemic (co-)dominant influenza virus (sub)types were determined using French virology data.

resultsDuring the study period, 297 607 ILI cases were reported allowing the detection of 33 influenza epidemics. On average, seasonal epidemics lasted 9 weeks and affected 4.1% of the population (95% CI 3.5; 4.7). Mean age of cases was 29 years. Epidemic size decreased over time by -66 cases per 100 000 population per season on average (95% CI -132; -0.2, P value = 0.049) and epidemic height decreased by -15 cases per 100 000 (95% CI -28; -2, P value = 0.022). Epidemic duration appeared stable over time. Epidemics were mostly dominated by A(H3N2) (n = 17, 52%), associated with larger epidemic size, higher epidemic peak and older age of cases.

conclusionsThe declining trend in influenza epidemic size and height over the last 33 years might be related to several factors like increased vaccine coverage, hygiene improvements or changing in influenza viruses. However, further researches are needed to assess the impact of potential contributing factors to adapt influenza plans.

Indexed as

Sentinel SurveillanceAdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolEpidemicsFemaleFranceHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornInfluenza, HumanMaleMiddle Agedepidemicsinfluenzainfluenza-like illnessprimary caresurveillance

Identifiers

PMID30428158
PMCPMC6379635

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.